Charles Booker's commanding 92.5% implied probability in the Kentucky Democratic Senate primary reflects trader consensus on his sustained polling dominance, including a 36%-18% lead over Amy McGrath in the latest Emerson/Fox56 survey from late March, bolstered by his name recognition as the 2022 nominee and narrow 2020 primary contender. With no new polls in the past month amid candidates' final campaign pitches this week, undecided voters appear to be consolidating behind Booker in this low-turnout race set for May 19. McGrath trails at 6% despite her 2020 general election run. Realistic challenges include a late major endorsement for a rival, unreleased polling shift, personal scandal, or unexpected turnout surge favoring moderates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Charles Booker 92%
Amy McGrath 4%
Pamela Stevenson 1.4%
Dale Romans 1.1%
$40,892 KL.
$40,892 KL.
May 19, 2026
Charles Booker
92%
Amy McGrath
4%
Pamela Stevenson
1%
Dale Romans
1%
Jared Randall
1%
Joel Willett
1%
Logan Forsythe
<1%
Vincent Thompson
<1%
Charles Booker 92%
Amy McGrath 4%
Pamela Stevenson 1.4%
Dale Romans 1.1%
$40,892 KL.
$40,892 KL.
May 19, 2026
Charles Booker
$12,541 KL.
92%
Amy McGrath
$8,465 KL.
4%
Pamela Stevenson
$3,432 KL.
1%
Dale Romans
$3,045 KL.
1%
Jared Randall
$5,487 KL.
1%
Joel Willett
$2,143 KL.
1%
Logan Forsythe
$3,162 KL.
<1%
Vincent Thompson
$2,617 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky.
If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Charles Booker's commanding 92.5% implied probability in the Kentucky Democratic Senate primary reflects trader consensus on his sustained polling dominance, including a 36%-18% lead over Amy McGrath in the latest Emerson/Fox56 survey from late March, bolstered by his name recognition as the 2022 nominee and narrow 2020 primary contender. With no new polls in the past month amid candidates' final campaign pitches this week, undecided voters appear to be consolidating behind Booker in this low-turnout race set for May 19. McGrath trails at 6% despite her 2020 general election run. Realistic challenges include a late major endorsement for a rival, unreleased polling shift, personal scandal, or unexpected turnout surge favoring moderates.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky.
If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Thị trường mở: Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$40,892Ngày kết thúc
May 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky.
If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Charles Booker's commanding 92.5% implied probability in the Kentucky Democratic Senate primary reflects trader consensus on his sustained polling dominance, including a 36%-18% lead over Amy McGrath in the latest Emerson/Fox56 survey from late March, bolstered by his name recognition as the 2022 nominee and narrow 2020 primary contender. With no new polls in the past month amid candidates' final campaign pitches this week, undecided voters appear to be consolidating behind Booker in this low-turnout race set for May 19. McGrath trails at 6% despite her 2020 general election run. Realistic challenges include a late major endorsement for a rival, unreleased polling shift, personal scandal, or unexpected turnout surge favoring moderates.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky.
If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Khối lượng
$40,892Ngày kết thúc
May 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Charles Booker's commanding 92.5% implied probability in the Kentucky Democratic Senate primary reflects trader consensus on his sustained polling dominance, including a 36%-18% lead over Amy McGrath in the latest Emerson/Fox56 survey from late March, bolstered by his name recognition as the 2022 nominee and narrow 2020 primary contender. With no new polls in the past month amid candidates' final campaign pitches this week, undecided voters appear to be consolidating behind Booker in this low-turnout race set for May 19. McGrath trails at 6% despite her 2020 general election run. Realistic challenges include a late major endorsement for a rival, unreleased polling shift, personal scandal, or unexpected turnout surge favoring moderates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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