Strong trader consensus on a June 30 release for the next Google Gemini Pro model reflects typical end-of-quarter timing after the May 2026 Google I/O announcements of the Gemini 3.5 series and agentic upgrades, with no confirmed earlier public launch date or major preview emerging in recent weeks. The 20% probability assigned to no release by June 30 accounts for potential delays common in large language model iterations, where internal testing and competitive positioning against rivals like OpenAI often shift timelines. Lower odds clustered around June 23-26 capture scattered speculation on minor updates or API drops, but lack supporting official signals or credible reporting. Traders weigh Google's pattern of iterative Gemini releases—such as the February 3.1 Pro preview—against the uncertainty of exact feature thresholds or regulatory factors that could influence final rollout.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNo release by June 30 97.3%
June 30 <1%
June 29 <1%
June 28 <1%
$236,581 KL.
$236,581 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
June 27
<1%
June 28
<1%
June 29
<1%
June 30
1%
No release by June 30
97%
No release by June 30 97.3%
June 30 <1%
June 29 <1%
June 28 <1%
$236,581 KL.
$236,581 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
June 27
$3,461 KL.
<1%
June 28
$3,701 KL.
<1%
June 29
$10,373 KL.
<1%
June 30
$31,777 KL.
1%
No release by June 30
$56,706 KL.
97%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Strong trader consensus on a June 30 release for the next Google Gemini Pro model reflects typical end-of-quarter timing after the May 2026 Google I/O announcements of the Gemini 3.5 series and agentic upgrades, with no confirmed earlier public launch date or major preview emerging in recent weeks. The 20% probability assigned to no release by June 30 accounts for potential delays common in large language model iterations, where internal testing and competitive positioning against rivals like OpenAI often shift timelines. Lower odds clustered around June 23-26 capture scattered speculation on minor updates or API drops, but lack supporting official signals or credible reporting. Traders weigh Google's pattern of iterative Gemini releases—such as the February 3.1 Pro preview—against the uncertainty of exact feature thresholds or regulatory factors that could influence final rollout.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$236,581Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Strong trader consensus on a June 30 release for the next Google Gemini Pro model reflects typical end-of-quarter timing after the May 2026 Google I/O announcements of the Gemini 3.5 series and agentic upgrades, with no confirmed earlier public launch date or major preview emerging in recent weeks. The 20% probability assigned to no release by June 30 accounts for potential delays common in large language model iterations, where internal testing and competitive positioning against rivals like OpenAI often shift timelines. Lower odds clustered around June 23-26 capture scattered speculation on minor updates or API drops, but lack supporting official signals or credible reporting. Traders weigh Google's pattern of iterative Gemini releases—such as the February 3.1 Pro preview—against the uncertainty of exact feature thresholds or regulatory factors that could influence final rollout.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$236,581Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong trader consensus on a June 30 release for the next Google Gemini Pro model reflects typical end-of-quarter timing after the May 2026 Google I/O announcements of the Gemini 3.5 series and agentic upgrades, with no confirmed earlier public launch date or major preview emerging in recent weeks. The 20% probability assigned to no release by June 30 accounts for potential delays common in large language model iterations, where internal testing and competitive positioning against rivals like OpenAI often shift timelines. Lower odds clustered around June 23-26 capture scattered speculation on minor updates or API drops, but lack supporting official signals or credible reporting. Traders weigh Google's pattern of iterative Gemini releases—such as the February 3.1 Pro preview—against the uncertainty of exact feature thresholds or regulatory factors that could influence final rollout.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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