Google's May 19 I/O announcement of Gemini 3.5 Pro, positioned as a frontier reasoning model with expanded context and agentic capabilities, set the June 2026 general availability target that now shapes trader focus. With Gemini 3.5 Flash already live and the Pro variant still in limited preview or internal testing, the spread between late-June dates and a possible slip past month-end reflects uncertainty over final certification, benchmark validation, and supply-chain readiness for broad API rollout. Competitive pressure from rival large language model releases adds volatility, as does Google's history of timeline adjustments on major updates. Key near-term catalysts include any enterprise previews, regulatory nods, or official blog posts clarifying exact availability criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJune 30 31%
June 23 24%
No release by June 30 13.5%
June 22 6.0%
$114,900 KL.
$114,900 KL.
June 13
<1%
June 14
<1%
June 15
<1%
June 16
3%
June 17
2%
June 18
4%
June 19
2%
June 20
1%
June 21
1%
June 22
6%
June 23
24%
June 24
4%
June 25
2%
June 26
6%
June 27
1%
June 28
<1%
June 29
<1%
June 30
31%
No release by June 30
13%
June 30 31%
June 23 24%
No release by June 30 13.5%
June 22 6.0%
$114,900 KL.
$114,900 KL.
June 13
<1%
June 14
<1%
June 15
<1%
June 16
3%
June 17
2%
June 18
4%
June 19
2%
June 20
1%
June 21
1%
June 22
6%
June 23
24%
June 24
4%
June 25
2%
June 26
6%
June 27
1%
June 28
<1%
June 29
<1%
June 30
31%
No release by June 30
13%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's May 19 I/O announcement of Gemini 3.5 Pro, positioned as a frontier reasoning model with expanded context and agentic capabilities, set the June 2026 general availability target that now shapes trader focus. With Gemini 3.5 Flash already live and the Pro variant still in limited preview or internal testing, the spread between late-June dates and a possible slip past month-end reflects uncertainty over final certification, benchmark validation, and supply-chain readiness for broad API rollout. Competitive pressure from rival large language model releases adds volatility, as does Google's history of timeline adjustments on major updates. Key near-term catalysts include any enterprise previews, regulatory nods, or official blog posts clarifying exact availability criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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