Google's I/O 2026 keynote in mid-May positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro for June general availability after shipping the lighter Flash variant immediately, yet the model remains in testing with no confirmed release by late June. This delay, amid internal validation for advanced reasoning, 2-million-token context, and "Deep Think" capabilities, has traders assigning a modest edge to no release by July 31. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models, plus Google's history of iterative previews before broad rollout, creates the tight clustering around July dates. Key swing factors include successful benchmark results or enterprise feedback that could accelerate availability, while supply-chain or safety reviews could push timelines further.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNo release by July 31 74%
July 13 69%
July 18 68%
July 10 59%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 31, 2026
On or prior to July 1
29%
July 2
13%
July 3
38%
July 4
42%
July 5
37%
July 6
2%
July 7
42%
July 8
19%
July 9
38%
July 10
59%
July 11
41%
July 12
21%
July 13
69%
July 14
53%
July 15
2%
July 16
39%
July 17
2%
July 18
68%
July 19
41%
July 20
19%
July 21
34%
July 22
33%
July 23
2%
July 24
20%
July 25
39%
July 26
32%
July 27
33%
July 28
38%
July 29
38%
July 30
38%
July 31
41%
No release by July 31
72%
No release by July 31 74%
July 13 69%
July 18 68%
July 10 59%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 31, 2026
On or prior to July 1
$112 KL.
29%
July 2
$21 KL.
13%
July 3
$51 KL.
38%
July 4
$51 KL.
42%
July 5
$51 KL.
37%
July 6
$56 KL.
2%
July 7
$56 KL.
42%
July 8
$51 KL.
19%
July 9
$51 KL.
38%
July 10
$33 KL.
59%
July 11
$56 KL.
41%
July 12
$56 KL.
21%
July 13
$46 KL.
69%
July 14
$33 KL.
53%
July 15
$46 KL.
2%
July 16
$51 KL.
39%
July 17
$51 KL.
2%
July 18
$56 KL.
68%
July 19
$56 KL.
41%
July 20
$56 KL.
19%
July 21
$56 KL.
34%
July 22
$56 KL.
33%
July 23
$56 KL.
2%
July 24
$51 KL.
20%
July 25
$51 KL.
39%
July 26
$56 KL.
32%
July 27
$51 KL.
33%
July 28
$56 KL.
38%
July 29
$51 KL.
38%
July 30
$56 KL.
38%
July 31
$56 KL.
41%
No release by July 31
$320 KL.
72%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's I/O 2026 keynote in mid-May positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro for June general availability after shipping the lighter Flash variant immediately, yet the model remains in testing with no confirmed release by late June. This delay, amid internal validation for advanced reasoning, 2-million-token context, and "Deep Think" capabilities, has traders assigning a modest edge to no release by July 31. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models, plus Google's history of iterative previews before broad rollout, creates the tight clustering around July dates. Key swing factors include successful benchmark results or enterprise feedback that could accelerate availability, while supply-chain or safety reviews could push timelines further.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jun 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,964Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's I/O 2026 keynote in mid-May positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro for June general availability after shipping the lighter Flash variant immediately, yet the model remains in testing with no confirmed release by late June. This delay, amid internal validation for advanced reasoning, 2-million-token context, and "Deep Think" capabilities, has traders assigning a modest edge to no release by July 31. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models, plus Google's history of iterative previews before broad rollout, creates the tight clustering around July dates. Key swing factors include successful benchmark results or enterprise feedback that could accelerate availability, while supply-chain or safety reviews could push timelines further.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$1,964Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's I/O 2026 keynote in mid-May positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro for June general availability after shipping the lighter Flash variant immediately, yet the model remains in testing with no confirmed release by late June. This delay, amid internal validation for advanced reasoning, 2-million-token context, and "Deep Think" capabilities, has traders assigning a modest edge to no release by July 31. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models, plus Google's history of iterative previews before broad rollout, creates the tight clustering around July dates. Key swing factors include successful benchmark results or enterprise feedback that could accelerate availability, while supply-chain or safety reviews could push timelines further.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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