Google's ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally slated for June after its May I/O tease and later pushed to July, remain the dominant factor shaping trader views on the next flagship Pro release. The model has stayed in internal and partner testing amid tweaks for long-horizon agentic tasks, while Google ships faster variants such as Gemini 3.8 Live, 3.8 Live Extended Thinking, and multiple Flash updates in September 2026. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, plus focus on cost-efficient Flash and specialized audio models, has shifted emphasis away from the Pro tier. Traders are watching for any official timeline update or surprise Gemini 4 pre-training signals that could reset expectations before year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1,300,632 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
18%
October 31
82%
October 15
48%
$1,300,632 KL.
September 30
$90,543 KL.
18%
October 31
$27,497 KL.
82%
October 15
$13,951 KL.
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally slated for June after its May I/O tease and later pushed to July, remain the dominant factor shaping trader views on the next flagship Pro release. The model has stayed in internal and partner testing amid tweaks for long-horizon agentic tasks, while Google ships faster variants such as Gemini 3.8 Live, 3.8 Live Extended Thinking, and multiple Flash updates in September 2026. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, plus focus on cost-efficient Flash and specialized audio models, has shifted emphasis away from the Pro tier. Traders are watching for any official timeline update or surprise Gemini 4 pre-training signals that could reset expectations before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,300,632Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally slated for June after its May I/O tease and later pushed to July, remain the dominant factor shaping trader views on the next flagship Pro release. The model has stayed in internal and partner testing amid tweaks for long-horizon agentic tasks, while Google ships faster variants such as Gemini 3.8 Live, 3.8 Live Extended Thinking, and multiple Flash updates in September 2026. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, plus focus on cost-efficient Flash and specialized audio models, has shifted emphasis away from the Pro tier. Traders are watching for any official timeline update or surprise Gemini 4 pre-training signals that could reset expectations before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$1,300,632Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Google's ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally slated for June after its May I/O tease and later pushed to July, remain the dominant factor shaping trader views on the next flagship Pro release. The model has stayed in internal and partner testing amid tweaks for long-horizon agentic tasks, while Google ships faster variants such as Gemini 3.8 Live, 3.8 Live Extended Thinking, and multiple Flash updates in September 2026. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, plus focus on cost-efficient Flash and specialized audio models, has shifted emphasis away from the Pro tier. Traders are watching for any official timeline update or surprise Gemini 4 pre-training signals that could reset expectations before year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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