Incumbent Adriano Espaillat maintains a strong lead in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York's 13th congressional district, backed by deep institutional ties across Upper Manhattan and the Bronx. Darializa Avila Chevalier, the main challenger endorsed by New York City DSA and the United Auto Workers, has narrowed the gap through targeted organizing and an April internal poll showing Espaillat with only 42 percent support among likely voters. Recent petition signature disputes filed by multiple campaigns have added procedural friction, while Chevalier's recent fundraising quarter edged out the incumbent's. These dynamics, combined with Espaillat's five-term record and established donor network, explain the current trader consensus favoring the sitting representative ahead of the primary.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-13 Democratic Primary Winner
NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Adriano Espaillat 71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 31%
Oscar Romero 1.9%
Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%
$22,817 KL.
$22,817 KL.
Adriano Espaillat
71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
31%
Oscar Romero
2%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Matt Miller
<1%
Adriano Espaillat 71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 31%
Oscar Romero 1.9%
Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%
$22,817 KL.
$22,817 KL.
Adriano Espaillat
71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
31%
Oscar Romero
2%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Matt Miller
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Adriano Espaillat maintains a strong lead in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York's 13th congressional district, backed by deep institutional ties across Upper Manhattan and the Bronx. Darializa Avila Chevalier, the main challenger endorsed by New York City DSA and the United Auto Workers, has narrowed the gap through targeted organizing and an April internal poll showing Espaillat with only 42 percent support among likely voters. Recent petition signature disputes filed by multiple campaigns have added procedural friction, while Chevalier's recent fundraising quarter edged out the incumbent's. These dynamics, combined with Espaillat's five-term record and established donor network, explain the current trader consensus favoring the sitting representative ahead of the primary.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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