Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance as of late May points to normal-to-below-normal rainfall for June amid above-normal temperatures, anchoring trader focus on the 375–425 mm range. Early-month observations show scattered thunderstorms and moderate showers consistent with the onset of the southwest monsoon, while historical climatology places June totals near 400–450 mm depending on the reference period. Variability stems primarily from the strength and position of the monsoon trough and the potential for early-season tropical cyclones, whose tracks and intensity remain uncertain at this stage. Model consensus through mid-month continues to favor near- or slightly below-average accumulation unless a slow-moving system develops, keeping the distribution of outcomes tightly clustered around the central bins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPrecipitation in Hong Kong in June?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in June?
500mm+ 21%
375-400mm 15%
425-450mm 14%
400-425mm 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
<350mm
12%
350-375mm
11%
375-400mm
27%
400-425mm
27%
425-450mm
14%
450-475mm
13%
475-500mm
19%
500mm+
21%
500mm+ 21%
375-400mm 15%
425-450mm 14%
400-425mm 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
<350mm
$297 KL.
12%
350-375mm
$132 KL.
11%
375-400mm
$245 KL.
27%
400-425mm
$148 KL.
27%
425-450mm
$167 KL.
14%
450-475mm
$193 KL.
13%
475-500mm
$233 KL.
19%
500mm+
$287 KL.
21%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance as of late May points to normal-to-below-normal rainfall for June amid above-normal temperatures, anchoring trader focus on the 375–425 mm range. Early-month observations show scattered thunderstorms and moderate showers consistent with the onset of the southwest monsoon, while historical climatology places June totals near 400–450 mm depending on the reference period. Variability stems primarily from the strength and position of the monsoon trough and the potential for early-season tropical cyclones, whose tracks and intensity remain uncertain at this stage. Model consensus through mid-month continues to favor near- or slightly below-average accumulation unless a slow-moving system develops, keeping the distribution of outcomes tightly clustered around the central bins.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,703Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance as of late May points to normal-to-below-normal rainfall for June amid above-normal temperatures, anchoring trader focus on the 375–425 mm range. Early-month observations show scattered thunderstorms and moderate showers consistent with the onset of the southwest monsoon, while historical climatology places June totals near 400–450 mm depending on the reference period. Variability stems primarily from the strength and position of the monsoon trough and the potential for early-season tropical cyclones, whose tracks and intensity remain uncertain at this stage. Model consensus through mid-month continues to favor near- or slightly below-average accumulation unless a slow-moving system develops, keeping the distribution of outcomes tightly clustered around the central bins.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$1,703Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance as of late May points to normal-to-below-normal rainfall for June amid above-normal temperatures, anchoring trader focus on the 375–425 mm range. Early-month observations show scattered thunderstorms and moderate showers consistent with the onset of the southwest monsoon, while historical climatology places June totals near 400–450 mm depending on the reference period. Variability stems primarily from the strength and position of the monsoon trough and the potential for early-season tropical cyclones, whose tracks and intensity remain uncertain at this stage. Model consensus through mid-month continues to favor near- or slightly below-average accumulation unless a slow-moving system develops, keeping the distribution of outcomes tightly clustered around the central bins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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