Mark Smith holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, driven by his current role as a state representative and strong performance in the April GOP forum straw poll. The open seat, created by Rep. Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial campaign, has drawn a crowded field where Smith’s legislative experience and fundraising edge position him ahead of challengers like retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath. Recent candidate forums and local media attention have reinforced trader views of Smith’s path to the June 9 nomination, while Pelbath and Sam McCown trail on name recognition and resources. The market’s implied probabilities reflect these established advantages ahead of primary voting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSC-01 Republican Primary Winner
SC-01 Republican Primary Winner
Mark Smith 71%
Alex Pelbath 17%
Sam McCown 9.3%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt 4.0%
$14,480 KL.
$14,480 KL.
Jun 9, 2026
Mark Smith
71%
Alex Pelbath
17%
Sam McCown
9%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
4%
Jay Byars
4%
Jack Ellison
2%
Logan Cunningham
1%
Justin Myers
1%
Dan Brown
1%
Mark Smith 71%
Alex Pelbath 17%
Sam McCown 9.3%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt 4.0%
$14,480 KL.
$14,480 KL.
Jun 9, 2026
Mark Smith
$5,657 KL.
71%
Alex Pelbath
$2,492 KL.
17%
Sam McCown
$2,086 KL.
9%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
$643 KL.
4%
Jay Byars
$681 KL.
4%
Jack Ellison
$945 KL.
2%
Logan Cunningham
$733 KL.
1%
Justin Myers
$603 KL.
1%
Dan Brown
$641 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Smith holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, driven by his current role as a state representative and strong performance in the April GOP forum straw poll. The open seat, created by Rep. Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial campaign, has drawn a crowded field where Smith’s legislative experience and fundraising edge position him ahead of challengers like retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath. Recent candidate forums and local media attention have reinforced trader views of Smith’s path to the June 9 nomination, while Pelbath and Sam McCown trail on name recognition and resources. The market’s implied probabilities reflect these established advantages ahead of primary voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Khối lượng
$14,480Ngày kết thúc
Jun 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Smith holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, driven by his current role as a state representative and strong performance in the April GOP forum straw poll. The open seat, created by Rep. Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial campaign, has drawn a crowded field where Smith’s legislative experience and fundraising edge position him ahead of challengers like retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath. Recent candidate forums and local media attention have reinforced trader views of Smith’s path to the June 9 nomination, while Pelbath and Sam McCown trail on name recognition and resources. The market’s implied probabilities reflect these established advantages ahead of primary voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$14,480Ngày kết thúc
Jun 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Smith holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, driven by his current role as a state representative and strong performance in the April GOP forum straw poll. The open seat, created by Rep. Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial campaign, has drawn a crowded field where Smith’s legislative experience and fundraising edge position him ahead of challengers like retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath. Recent candidate forums and local media attention have reinforced trader views of Smith’s path to the June 9 nomination, while Pelbath and Sam McCown trail on name recognition and resources. The market’s implied probabilities reflect these established advantages ahead of primary voting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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