The final certified results from South Carolina's 5th congressional district show Republican Wes Climer defeating Democrat Mallory Dittmer by approximately 5.7 percentage points, placing the outcome squarely in the leading 5-10% margin band. This narrow Republican hold reflects a substantial shift from prior cycles in the open seat, where historical margins exceeded 20 points. Stronger Democratic turnout and vote share gains across multiple counties narrowed the gap despite the district's Republican lean. Trader pricing in related markets on candidate identity and party win probability remains balanced near even odds, consistent with the competitive final tally and any remaining procedural steps around certification. Late shifts in turnout or county-level reporting could still influence exact band resolution within the resolution window.