The film’s anemic $5.5 million domestic opening, well below even lowered expectations for the Aaron Sorkin-directed companion piece to “The Social Network,” has cemented trader expectations for a steep second-weekend decline into the low-to-mid seven figures. Mixed reviews (54% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a B- CinemaScore have produced weak word-of-mouth, while the subject matter—Facebook whistleblower Frances Haugen’s 2021 revelations—lacks the cultural currency that drove the 2010 original. Comparable underperformers in the drama/thriller space typically shed 55-65% in their second frame, supporting the overwhelming market consensus around the 1m-2m range. An upset into higher brackets would require unusually strong holdover appeal or a surprise awards-season narrative shift, neither of which current tracking or social metrics indicate.