Geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran, including effective restrictions on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, have emerged as the dominant driver lifting WTI crude oil prices in May 2026. Supply disruptions from the chokepoint, which handles roughly 20 percent of global oil flows, have tightened near-term balances and added a substantial risk premium, pushing WTI futures toward the $100–$106 per barrel range amid elevated volatility. This upward pressure has overshadowed softer demand signals from China and steady U.S. production growth, with recent EIA data reflecting mixed inventory builds and higher exports. Traders are monitoring the upcoming EIA weekly petroleum status report and potential updates on U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts, which could quickly recalibrate implied probabilities if tensions ease or production outages persist.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?
$18,622,543 KL.
↑ $200
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
4%
↑ $130
13%
↑ $120
27%
↑ $115
45%
↑ $110
69%
↑ $105
93%
↓ $95
41%
↓ $90
24%
↓ $85
14%
↓ $80
8%
↓ $70
3%
↓ $60
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $30
<1%
$18,622,543 KL.
↑ $200
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
4%
↑ $130
13%
↑ $120
27%
↑ $115
45%
↑ $110
69%
↑ $105
93%
↓ $95
41%
↓ $90
24%
↓ $85
14%
↓ $80
8%
↓ $70
3%
↓ $60
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $30
<1%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Thị trường mở: Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran, including effective restrictions on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, have emerged as the dominant driver lifting WTI crude oil prices in May 2026. Supply disruptions from the chokepoint, which handles roughly 20 percent of global oil flows, have tightened near-term balances and added a substantial risk premium, pushing WTI futures toward the $100–$106 per barrel range amid elevated volatility. This upward pressure has overshadowed softer demand signals from China and steady U.S. production growth, with recent EIA data reflecting mixed inventory builds and higher exports. Traders are monitoring the upcoming EIA weekly petroleum status report and potential updates on U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts, which could quickly recalibrate implied probabilities if tensions ease or production outages persist.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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