Traders' tight consensus around $1.5T–$2.5T market caps for SpaceX's anticipated IPO—implied probabilities of 27.5% for $2.0T–$2.5T and 26.5% for $1.5T–$2.0T—stems from the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow and Nasdaq listing at $1.75T–$2T+ valuation with a potential $75 billion raise. Recent tender offers valued shares at $800 billion in December 2025, fueled by Starlink's projected $22–$24 billion 2026 revenue from its expanding satellite constellation and reusable Falcon rocket dominance in launch services. Competitive edges include unmatched launch cadence versus Blue Origin and ULA, Starship orbital milestones, and DoD contracts, though macro volatility and FAA approvals for Starship remain key swing factors ahead of mid-June pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVốn hóa thị trường đóng cửa IPO của SpaceX
Vốn hóa thị trường đóng cửa IPO của SpaceX
$1,972,915 KL.
$1,972,915 KL.
<1,0T
5%
1,0T-1,5T
9%
1,5T-2,0T
27%
2,0T-2,5T
28%
2,5T-3,0T
22%
3,0T-3,5T
9%
3,5T+
2%
Không IPO trước năm 2028
2%
$1,972,915 KL.
$1,972,915 KL.
<1,0T
$73,327 KL.
5%
1,0T-1,5T
$64,077 KL.
9%
1,5T-2,0T
$74,313 KL.
27%
2,0T-2,5T
$99,133 KL.
28%
2,5T-3,0T
$820,026 KL.
22%
3,0T-3,5T
$488,877 KL.
9%
3,5T+
$72,081 KL.
2%
Không IPO trước năm 2028
$281,081 KL.
2%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders' tight consensus around $1.5T–$2.5T market caps for SpaceX's anticipated IPO—implied probabilities of 27.5% for $2.0T–$2.5T and 26.5% for $1.5T–$2.0T—stems from the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow and Nasdaq listing at $1.75T–$2T+ valuation with a potential $75 billion raise. Recent tender offers valued shares at $800 billion in December 2025, fueled by Starlink's projected $22–$24 billion 2026 revenue from its expanding satellite constellation and reusable Falcon rocket dominance in launch services. Competitive edges include unmatched launch cadence versus Blue Origin and ULA, Starship orbital milestones, and DoD contracts, though macro volatility and FAA approvals for Starship remain key swing factors ahead of mid-June pricing.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,972,915Thị trường mở
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders' tight consensus around $1.5T–$2.5T market caps for SpaceX's anticipated IPO—implied probabilities of 27.5% for $2.0T–$2.5T and 26.5% for $1.5T–$2.0T—stems from the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow and Nasdaq listing at $1.75T–$2T+ valuation with a potential $75 billion raise. Recent tender offers valued shares at $800 billion in December 2025, fueled by Starlink's projected $22–$24 billion 2026 revenue from its expanding satellite constellation and reusable Falcon rocket dominance in launch services. Competitive edges include unmatched launch cadence versus Blue Origin and ULA, Starship orbital milestones, and DoD contracts, though macro volatility and FAA approvals for Starship remain key swing factors ahead of mid-June pricing.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$1,972,915Thị trường mở
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' tight consensus around $1.5T–$2.5T market caps for SpaceX's anticipated IPO—implied probabilities of 27.5% for $2.0T–$2.5T and 26.5% for $1.5T–$2.0T—stems from the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow and Nasdaq listing at $1.75T–$2T+ valuation with a potential $75 billion raise. Recent tender offers valued shares at $800 billion in December 2025, fueled by Starlink's projected $22–$24 billion 2026 revenue from its expanding satellite constellation and reusable Falcon rocket dominance in launch services. Competitive edges include unmatched launch cadence versus Blue Origin and ULA, Starship orbital milestones, and DoD contracts, though macro volatility and FAA approvals for Starship remain key swing factors ahead of mid-June pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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