Recent reporting on SpaceX targeting an IPO valuation above $2 trillion in 2026 has anchored trader consensus around a 1T+ closing market cap, reflecting rapid growth in Starlink's subscriber base and revenue alongside Starship's advancing test program. Private-market tenders have already climbed from roughly $800 billion late last year to $1.75 trillion this spring, driven by the company's vertically integrated launch dominance and plans for space-based AI data centers. With an anticipated summer listing and potential $75 billion raise, the market views these milestones as supportive of sustained high valuation. Scenarios that could still pressure the outcome include regulatory delays, Starship flight-test setbacks, or slower-than-projected Starlink adoption in key markets.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTrên 1 nghìn tỷ 94%
Không IPO trước năm 2028 1.4%
800 tỷ–900 tỷ 1.3%
700 tỷ–800 tỷ 1.0%
$3,412,653 KL.
$3,412,653 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
<500 tỷ
<1%
500 tỷ–600 tỷ
<1%
600B–700B
<1%
700 tỷ–800 tỷ
1%
800 tỷ–900 tỷ
1%
900 tỷ–1 nghìn tỷ
1%
Trên 1 nghìn tỷ
94%
Không IPO trước năm 2028
1%
Trên 1 nghìn tỷ 94%
Không IPO trước năm 2028 1.4%
800 tỷ–900 tỷ 1.3%
700 tỷ–800 tỷ 1.0%
$3,412,653 KL.
$3,412,653 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
<500 tỷ
$374,536 KL.
<1%
500 tỷ–600 tỷ
$319,935 KL.
<1%
600B–700B
$292,413 KL.
<1%
700 tỷ–800 tỷ
$331,555 KL.
1%
800 tỷ–900 tỷ
$481,987 KL.
1%
900 tỷ–1 nghìn tỷ
$418,715 KL.
1%
Trên 1 nghìn tỷ
$602,589 KL.
94%
Không IPO trước năm 2028
$590,922 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reporting on SpaceX targeting an IPO valuation above $2 trillion in 2026 has anchored trader consensus around a 1T+ closing market cap, reflecting rapid growth in Starlink's subscriber base and revenue alongside Starship's advancing test program. Private-market tenders have already climbed from roughly $800 billion late last year to $1.75 trillion this spring, driven by the company's vertically integrated launch dominance and plans for space-based AI data centers. With an anticipated summer listing and potential $75 billion raise, the market views these milestones as supportive of sustained high valuation. Scenarios that could still pressure the outcome include regulatory delays, Starship flight-test setbacks, or slower-than-projected Starlink adoption in key markets.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,412,653Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reporting on SpaceX targeting an IPO valuation above $2 trillion in 2026 has anchored trader consensus around a 1T+ closing market cap, reflecting rapid growth in Starlink's subscriber base and revenue alongside Starship's advancing test program. Private-market tenders have already climbed from roughly $800 billion late last year to $1.75 trillion this spring, driven by the company's vertically integrated launch dominance and plans for space-based AI data centers. With an anticipated summer listing and potential $75 billion raise, the market views these milestones as supportive of sustained high valuation. Scenarios that could still pressure the outcome include regulatory delays, Starship flight-test setbacks, or slower-than-projected Starlink adoption in key markets.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$3,412,653Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent reporting on SpaceX targeting an IPO valuation above $2 trillion in 2026 has anchored trader consensus around a 1T+ closing market cap, reflecting rapid growth in Starlink's subscriber base and revenue alongside Starship's advancing test program. Private-market tenders have already climbed from roughly $800 billion late last year to $1.75 trillion this spring, driven by the company's vertically integrated launch dominance and plans for space-based AI data centers. With an anticipated summer listing and potential $75 billion raise, the market views these milestones as supportive of sustained high valuation. Scenarios that could still pressure the outcome include regulatory delays, Starship flight-test setbacks, or slower-than-projected Starlink adoption in key markets.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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