Strong summer 2026 tentpoles including *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*, *The Odyssey*, *Toy Story 5*, and *The Super Mario Galaxy Movie* have propelled year-to-date domestic totals past $6.2 billion by early August, up 15% year-over-year and on pace for roughly $10 billion overall. This surge, fueled by premium formats, elevated ticket prices, and broad audience appeal, positions the year as a potential top post-pandemic performer but leaves it trailing inflation-adjusted records from 2018–2019 peaks. Traders see the close clustering of mid-tier outcomes (7th–15th) because fall and holiday slates remain uncertain, with historical patterns showing late-year releases can swing final rankings by several spots. Guild and studio pipeline strength provides upside for a higher finish, while any softening in audience turnout or release delays could cap momentum below the top 10.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhere will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
7th-9th 42%
13th-15th 41%
Below 15th 41%
6th or higher 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
6th or higher
40%
7th-9th
42%
10th-12th
38%
13th-15th
41%
Below 15th
41%
7th-9th 42%
13th-15th 41%
Below 15th 41%
6th or higher 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
6th or higher
$19 KL.
40%
7th-9th
$16 KL.
42%
10th-12th
$18 KL.
38%
13th-15th
$18 KL.
41%
Below 15th
$6 KL.
41%
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong summer 2026 tentpoles including *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*, *The Odyssey*, *Toy Story 5*, and *The Super Mario Galaxy Movie* have propelled year-to-date domestic totals past $6.2 billion by early August, up 15% year-over-year and on pace for roughly $10 billion overall. This surge, fueled by premium formats, elevated ticket prices, and broad audience appeal, positions the year as a potential top post-pandemic performer but leaves it trailing inflation-adjusted records from 2018–2019 peaks. Traders see the close clustering of mid-tier outcomes (7th–15th) because fall and holiday slates remain uncertain, with historical patterns showing late-year releases can swing final rankings by several spots. Guild and studio pipeline strength provides upside for a higher finish, while any softening in audience turnout or release delays could cap momentum below the top 10.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$78Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong summer 2026 tentpoles including *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*, *The Odyssey*, *Toy Story 5*, and *The Super Mario Galaxy Movie* have propelled year-to-date domestic totals past $6.2 billion by early August, up 15% year-over-year and on pace for roughly $10 billion overall. This surge, fueled by premium formats, elevated ticket prices, and broad audience appeal, positions the year as a potential top post-pandemic performer but leaves it trailing inflation-adjusted records from 2018–2019 peaks. Traders see the close clustering of mid-tier outcomes (7th–15th) because fall and holiday slates remain uncertain, with historical patterns showing late-year releases can swing final rankings by several spots. Guild and studio pipeline strength provides upside for a higher finish, while any softening in audience turnout or release delays could cap momentum below the top 10.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Khối lượng
$78Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong summer 2026 tentpoles including *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*, *The Odyssey*, *Toy Story 5*, and *The Super Mario Galaxy Movie* have propelled year-to-date domestic totals past $6.2 billion by early August, up 15% year-over-year and on pace for roughly $10 billion overall. This surge, fueled by premium formats, elevated ticket prices, and broad audience appeal, positions the year as a potential top post-pandemic performer but leaves it trailing inflation-adjusted records from 2018–2019 peaks. Traders see the close clustering of mid-tier outcomes (7th–15th) because fall and holiday slates remain uncertain, with historical patterns showing late-year releases can swing final rankings by several spots. Guild and studio pipeline strength provides upside for a higher finish, while any softening in audience turnout or release delays could cap momentum below the top 10.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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