Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend in late July has anchored trader sentiment, positioning the MCU title as the clear frontrunner for 2026’s biggest debut thanks to its massive scale, Tom Holland-Zendaya star power, and premium-format dominance that topped even Avengers: Endgame. Avengers: Doomsday sits close behind at 41.5% implied probability on the strength of Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom, the Russo brothers’ direction, and December 18 timing that historically delivers blockbuster numbers, though projections of $260–300 million leave it short of unseating the July record. Toy Story 5’s June opening, along with the other long-shot titles, trail far behind due to smaller tracked debuts and limited franchise momentum relative to the two Marvel events.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 57%
Avengers: Doomsday 42%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$85,501 KL.
$85,501 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
57%
Avengers: Doomsday
42%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Toy Story 5
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 57%
Avengers: Doomsday 42%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$85,501 KL.
$85,501 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$20,250 KL.
57%
Avengers: Doomsday
$32,315 KL.
42%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 KL.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,728 KL.
<1%
Toy Story 5
$3,657 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend in late July has anchored trader sentiment, positioning the MCU title as the clear frontrunner for 2026’s biggest debut thanks to its massive scale, Tom Holland-Zendaya star power, and premium-format dominance that topped even Avengers: Endgame. Avengers: Doomsday sits close behind at 41.5% implied probability on the strength of Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom, the Russo brothers’ direction, and December 18 timing that historically delivers blockbuster numbers, though projections of $260–300 million leave it short of unseating the July record. Toy Story 5’s June opening, along with the other long-shot titles, trail far behind due to smaller tracked debuts and limited franchise momentum relative to the two Marvel events.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Khối lượng
$85,501Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend in late July has anchored trader sentiment, positioning the MCU title as the clear frontrunner for 2026’s biggest debut thanks to its massive scale, Tom Holland-Zendaya star power, and premium-format dominance that topped even Avengers: Endgame. Avengers: Doomsday sits close behind at 41.5% implied probability on the strength of Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom, the Russo brothers’ direction, and December 18 timing that historically delivers blockbuster numbers, though projections of $260–300 million leave it short of unseating the July record. Toy Story 5’s June opening, along with the other long-shot titles, trail far behind due to smaller tracked debuts and limited franchise momentum relative to the two Marvel events.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Khối lượng
$85,501Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend in late July has anchored trader sentiment, positioning the MCU title as the clear frontrunner for 2026’s biggest debut thanks to its massive scale, Tom Holland-Zendaya star power, and premium-format dominance that topped even Avengers: Endgame. Avengers: Doomsday sits close behind at 41.5% implied probability on the strength of Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom, the Russo brothers’ direction, and December 18 timing that historically delivers blockbuster numbers, though projections of $260–300 million leave it short of unseating the July record. Toy Story 5’s June opening, along with the other long-shot titles, trail far behind due to smaller tracked debuts and limited franchise momentum relative to the two Marvel events.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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