Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 67 percent implied probability because its MCU event status, Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, and massive franchise crossover appeal create unmatched pre-release buzz and tracking estimates for a 2026 summer release. This far outpaces Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 22 percent, which benefits from Sony's reliable superhero audience but lacks the Avengers-scale spectacle. Animated contenders like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Toy Story 5 sit near 4 percent and 3.5 percent on strong family franchise loyalty, while Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu, The Odyssey, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping each hover below 2 percent due to narrower appeal and later positioning. Key upcoming catalysts include first trailer drops and confirmed release dates that could further solidify or shift the current market hierarchy.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 67%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 22%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 4.0%
Toy Story 5 3.5%
$12,845 KL.
$12,845 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
67%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
22%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
4%
Toy Story 5
3%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
The Odyssey
1%
Dune: Messiah
1%
Avengers: Doomsday 67%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 22%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 4.0%
Toy Story 5 3.5%
$12,845 KL.
$12,845 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$715 KL.
67%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$585 KL.
22%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$798 KL.
4%
Toy Story 5
$459 KL.
3%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$448 KL.
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
$482 KL.
1%
The Odyssey
$481 KL.
1%
Dune: Messiah
$512 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 67 percent implied probability because its MCU event status, Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, and massive franchise crossover appeal create unmatched pre-release buzz and tracking estimates for a 2026 summer release. This far outpaces Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 22 percent, which benefits from Sony's reliable superhero audience but lacks the Avengers-scale spectacle. Animated contenders like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Toy Story 5 sit near 4 percent and 3.5 percent on strong family franchise loyalty, while Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu, The Odyssey, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping each hover below 2 percent due to narrower appeal and later positioning. Key upcoming catalysts include first trailer drops and confirmed release dates that could further solidify or shift the current market hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Khối lượng
$12,845Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 67 percent implied probability because its MCU event status, Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, and massive franchise crossover appeal create unmatched pre-release buzz and tracking estimates for a 2026 summer release. This far outpaces Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 22 percent, which benefits from Sony's reliable superhero audience but lacks the Avengers-scale spectacle. Animated contenders like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Toy Story 5 sit near 4 percent and 3.5 percent on strong family franchise loyalty, while Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu, The Odyssey, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping each hover below 2 percent due to narrower appeal and later positioning. Key upcoming catalysts include first trailer drops and confirmed release dates that could further solidify or shift the current market hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Khối lượng
$12,845Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 67 percent implied probability because its MCU event status, Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, and massive franchise crossover appeal create unmatched pre-release buzz and tracking estimates for a 2026 summer release. This far outpaces Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 22 percent, which benefits from Sony's reliable superhero audience but lacks the Avengers-scale spectacle. Animated contenders like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Toy Story 5 sit near 4 percent and 3.5 percent on strong family franchise loyalty, while Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu, The Odyssey, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping each hover below 2 percent due to narrower appeal and later positioning. Key upcoming catalysts include first trailer drops and confirmed release dates that could further solidify or shift the current market hierarchy.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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