The ongoing Ebola outbreak driven by Bundibugyo virus in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), now in its 17th recorded wave since 1976, dominates trader sentiment for 2026 case markets. Confirmed cases have surged past 4,800 in DRC provinces including Ituri, with cross-border transmission yielding 20 cases in Uganda before that nation's outbreak ended in late July. WHO's May PHEIC declaration and CDC travel restrictions underscore rapid spread and containment challenges, boosting implied probability for these two nations while keeping odds low for others absent new exportations. With the year more than halfway complete, momentum hinges on surveillance updates, border controls, and any late-year flare-ups in neighboring regions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$32,946 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
South Sudan
69%
Rwanda
28%
Burundi
32%
United States
21%
Canada
23%
Kenya
48%
India
14%
Republic of the Congo
26%
Nigeria
50%
Ethiopia
51%
Somalia
35%
China
20%
$32,946 KL.
South Sudan
$2,001 KL.
69%
Rwanda
$2,128 KL.
28%
Burundi
$200 KL.
32%
United States
$9,676 KL.
21%
Canada
$1,086 KL.
23%
Kenya
$195 KL.
48%
India
$732 KL.
14%
Republic of the Congo
$11,921 KL.
26%
Nigeria
$25 KL.
50%
Ethiopia
$65 KL.
51%
Somalia
$71 KL.
35%
China
$2,892 KL.
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing Ebola outbreak driven by Bundibugyo virus in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), now in its 17th recorded wave since 1976, dominates trader sentiment for 2026 case markets. Confirmed cases have surged past 4,800 in DRC provinces including Ituri, with cross-border transmission yielding 20 cases in Uganda before that nation's outbreak ended in late July. WHO's May PHEIC declaration and CDC travel restrictions underscore rapid spread and containment challenges, boosting implied probability for these two nations while keeping odds low for others absent new exportations. With the year more than halfway complete, momentum hinges on surveillance updates, border controls, and any late-year flare-ups in neighboring regions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Thị trường mở: May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Khối lượng
$32,946Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing Ebola outbreak driven by Bundibugyo virus in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), now in its 17th recorded wave since 1976, dominates trader sentiment for 2026 case markets. Confirmed cases have surged past 4,800 in DRC provinces including Ituri, with cross-border transmission yielding 20 cases in Uganda before that nation's outbreak ended in late July. WHO's May PHEIC declaration and CDC travel restrictions underscore rapid spread and containment challenges, boosting implied probability for these two nations while keeping odds low for others absent new exportations. With the year more than halfway complete, momentum hinges on surveillance updates, border controls, and any late-year flare-ups in neighboring regions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Khối lượng
$32,946Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Ebola outbreak driven by Bundibugyo virus in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), now in its 17th recorded wave since 1976, dominates trader sentiment for 2026 case markets. Confirmed cases have surged past 4,800 in DRC provinces including Ituri, with cross-border transmission yielding 20 cases in Uganda before that nation's outbreak ended in late July. WHO's May PHEIC declaration and CDC travel restrictions underscore rapid spread and containment challenges, boosting implied probability for these two nations while keeping odds low for others absent new exportations. With the year more than halfway complete, momentum hinges on surveillance updates, border controls, and any late-year flare-ups in neighboring regions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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