Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment for the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend at 64.5% implied probability, driven by its December 18 release timing, strong early presales, and MCU event status following Robert Downey Jr. and Chris Evans returns. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic debut in late July has locked in the top spot, shifting focus to holiday competition where Doomsday benefits from franchise momentum and minimal direct overlap with Toy Story 5’s earlier $160 million launch. Dune: Messiah shares the same December date, potentially splitting premium screens and audience, while The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and lower-profile titles trail based on current tracking. Traders weigh upcoming trailer reactions and December screen allocations as key swing factors before the year-end resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 65%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 34%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$64,972 KL.
$64,972 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
65%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
34%
Toy Story 5
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 65%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 34%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$64,972 KL.
$64,972 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$29,610 KL.
65%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$29,421 KL.
34%
Toy Story 5
$579 KL.
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$482 KL.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,600 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment for the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend at 64.5% implied probability, driven by its December 18 release timing, strong early presales, and MCU event status following Robert Downey Jr. and Chris Evans returns. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic debut in late July has locked in the top spot, shifting focus to holiday competition where Doomsday benefits from franchise momentum and minimal direct overlap with Toy Story 5’s earlier $160 million launch. Dune: Messiah shares the same December date, potentially splitting premium screens and audience, while The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and lower-profile titles trail based on current tracking. Traders weigh upcoming trailer reactions and December screen allocations as key swing factors before the year-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
Khối lượng
$64,972Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment for the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend at 64.5% implied probability, driven by its December 18 release timing, strong early presales, and MCU event status following Robert Downey Jr. and Chris Evans returns. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic debut in late July has locked in the top spot, shifting focus to holiday competition where Doomsday benefits from franchise momentum and minimal direct overlap with Toy Story 5’s earlier $160 million launch. Dune: Messiah shares the same December date, potentially splitting premium screens and audience, while The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and lower-profile titles trail based on current tracking. Traders weigh upcoming trailer reactions and December screen allocations as key swing factors before the year-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Khối lượng
$64,972Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment for the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend at 64.5% implied probability, driven by its December 18 release timing, strong early presales, and MCU event status following Robert Downey Jr. and Chris Evans returns. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic debut in late July has locked in the top spot, shifting focus to holiday competition where Doomsday benefits from franchise momentum and minimal direct overlap with Toy Story 5’s earlier $160 million launch. Dune: Messiah shares the same December date, potentially splitting premium screens and audience, while The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and lower-profile titles trail based on current tracking. Traders weigh upcoming trailer reactions and December screen allocations as key swing factors before the year-end resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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