The June 2, 2026, primary results positioned the Democratic nominee Randy Villegas against incumbent Republican David Valadao in the November general election for California's 22nd congressional district. Valadao advanced with roughly 41 percent while Villegas took second at about 32 percent, eliminating moderate Democrat Jasmeet Bains. The district's revised boundaries under Proposition 50 create a narrow partisan lean, rated a toss-up or slight Republican edge by most forecasters, yet trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 62.5 percent implied probability. This reflects Valadao's long history of narrow victories in a Central Valley seat with significant Hispanic and working-class voters, combined with midterm dynamics and the more progressive profile of his general-election opponent. Upcoming campaign fundraising, endorsements, and national conditions through November remain key variables that could shift positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-22 House Election Winner
CA-22 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
16%
Democratic Party
56%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$168 KL.
16%
Democratic Party
$402 KL.
56%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The June 2, 2026, primary results positioned the Democratic nominee Randy Villegas against incumbent Republican David Valadao in the November general election for California's 22nd congressional district. Valadao advanced with roughly 41 percent while Villegas took second at about 32 percent, eliminating moderate Democrat Jasmeet Bains. The district's revised boundaries under Proposition 50 create a narrow partisan lean, rated a toss-up or slight Republican edge by most forecasters, yet trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 62.5 percent implied probability. This reflects Valadao's long history of narrow victories in a Central Valley seat with significant Hispanic and working-class voters, combined with midterm dynamics and the more progressive profile of his general-election opponent. Upcoming campaign fundraising, endorsements, and national conditions through November remain key variables that could shift positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ET
Khối lượng
$570Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The June 2, 2026, primary results positioned the Democratic nominee Randy Villegas against incumbent Republican David Valadao in the November general election for California's 22nd congressional district. Valadao advanced with roughly 41 percent while Villegas took second at about 32 percent, eliminating moderate Democrat Jasmeet Bains. The district's revised boundaries under Proposition 50 create a narrow partisan lean, rated a toss-up or slight Republican edge by most forecasters, yet trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 62.5 percent implied probability. This reflects Valadao's long history of narrow victories in a Central Valley seat with significant Hispanic and working-class voters, combined with midterm dynamics and the more progressive profile of his general-election opponent. Upcoming campaign fundraising, endorsements, and national conditions through November remain key variables that could shift positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$570Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The June 2, 2026, primary results positioned the Democratic nominee Randy Villegas against incumbent Republican David Valadao in the November general election for California's 22nd congressional district. Valadao advanced with roughly 41 percent while Villegas took second at about 32 percent, eliminating moderate Democrat Jasmeet Bains. The district's revised boundaries under Proposition 50 create a narrow partisan lean, rated a toss-up or slight Republican edge by most forecasters, yet trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 62.5 percent implied probability. This reflects Valadao's long history of narrow victories in a Central Valley seat with significant Hispanic and working-class voters, combined with midterm dynamics and the more progressive profile of his general-election opponent. Upcoming campaign fundraising, endorsements, and national conditions through November remain key variables that could shift positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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