FIFA president Gianni Infantino has repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup, most recently at the April congress, while the Iranian federation secured approval in May to shift its training base to Tijuana, Mexico, allowing matchday travel into the United States. These steps, combined with Italy's outright rejection of any swap proposal and the absence of any official FIFA contingency plans, have anchored trader consensus around no replacement. Geopolitical tensions earlier raised withdrawal speculation, yet recent base-camp logistics and confederation stability have reinforced the status quo. A late Iranian pullout remains theoretically possible due to safety or political factors, potentially opening spots for AFC sides such as the UAE, but such scenarios lack supporting developments and face significant FIFA procedural hurdles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich team will replace Iran at World Cup?
Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?
No Replacement 99.8%
Italy <1%
UAE <1%
Other <1%
$96,827 KL.
$96,827 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
No Replacement
100%
Italy
1%
UAE
<1%
Other
<1%
Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 99.8%
Italy <1%
UAE <1%
Other <1%
$96,827 KL.
$96,827 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
No Replacement
$38,976 KL.
100%
Italy
$40,939 KL.
1%
UAE
$6,652 KL.
<1%
Other
$6,625 KL.
<1%
Bolivia
$3,634 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA president Gianni Infantino has repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup, most recently at the April congress, while the Iranian federation secured approval in May to shift its training base to Tijuana, Mexico, allowing matchday travel into the United States. These steps, combined with Italy's outright rejection of any swap proposal and the absence of any official FIFA contingency plans, have anchored trader consensus around no replacement. Geopolitical tensions earlier raised withdrawal speculation, yet recent base-camp logistics and confederation stability have reinforced the status quo. A late Iranian pullout remains theoretically possible due to safety or political factors, potentially opening spots for AFC sides such as the UAE, but such scenarios lack supporting developments and face significant FIFA procedural hurdles.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Khối lượng
$96,827Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA president Gianni Infantino has repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup, most recently at the April congress, while the Iranian federation secured approval in May to shift its training base to Tijuana, Mexico, allowing matchday travel into the United States. These steps, combined with Italy's outright rejection of any swap proposal and the absence of any official FIFA contingency plans, have anchored trader consensus around no replacement. Geopolitical tensions earlier raised withdrawal speculation, yet recent base-camp logistics and confederation stability have reinforced the status quo. A late Iranian pullout remains theoretically possible due to safety or political factors, potentially opening spots for AFC sides such as the UAE, but such scenarios lack supporting developments and face significant FIFA procedural hurdles.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$96,827Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...FIFA president Gianni Infantino has repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup, most recently at the April congress, while the Iranian federation secured approval in May to shift its training base to Tijuana, Mexico, allowing matchday travel into the United States. These steps, combined with Italy's outright rejection of any swap proposal and the absence of any official FIFA contingency plans, have anchored trader consensus around no replacement. Geopolitical tensions earlier raised withdrawal speculation, yet recent base-camp logistics and confederation stability have reinforced the status quo. A late Iranian pullout remains theoretically possible due to safety or political factors, potentially opening spots for AFC sides such as the UAE, but such scenarios lack supporting developments and face significant FIFA procedural hurdles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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