Trader consensus on "No" at 97.5% for a new Abraham Accords signatory by August 31, 2026, stems from the absence of active negotiations approaching formal completion in the remaining window. Kazakhstan joined in early 2026 and Somaliland pledged in late 2025, but subsequent U.S. and Israeli diplomatic efforts targeting Saudi Arabia, Syria, Lebanon, and additional Central Asian states have produced only exploratory talks without verified breakthroughs. Core obstacles, including requirements for Palestinian state progress and regional security conditions tied to Israeli operations, continue to block rapid movement. The short timeline leaves little room for the multilateral coordination, public announcements, and bilateral signings needed for accession. Unexpected late developments, such as a surprise normalization agreement with a state like Azerbaijan or Oman, could still shift the outcome before the deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật3% khả năng
$53,711 KL.
$53,711 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
3% khả năng
$53,711 KL.
$53,711 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on "No" at 97.5% for a new Abraham Accords signatory by August 31, 2026, stems from the absence of active negotiations approaching formal completion in the remaining window. Kazakhstan joined in early 2026 and Somaliland pledged in late 2025, but subsequent U.S. and Israeli diplomatic efforts targeting Saudi Arabia, Syria, Lebanon, and additional Central Asian states have produced only exploratory talks without verified breakthroughs. Core obstacles, including requirements for Palestinian state progress and regional security conditions tied to Israeli operations, continue to block rapid movement. The short timeline leaves little room for the multilateral coordination, public announcements, and bilateral signings needed for accession. Unexpected late developments, such as a surprise normalization agreement with a state like Azerbaijan or Oman, could still shift the outcome before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$53,711Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on "No" at 97.5% for a new Abraham Accords signatory by August 31, 2026, stems from the absence of active negotiations approaching formal completion in the remaining window. Kazakhstan joined in early 2026 and Somaliland pledged in late 2025, but subsequent U.S. and Israeli diplomatic efforts targeting Saudi Arabia, Syria, Lebanon, and additional Central Asian states have produced only exploratory talks without verified breakthroughs. Core obstacles, including requirements for Palestinian state progress and regional security conditions tied to Israeli operations, continue to block rapid movement. The short timeline leaves little room for the multilateral coordination, public announcements, and bilateral signings needed for accession. Unexpected late developments, such as a surprise normalization agreement with a state like Azerbaijan or Oman, could still shift the outcome before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$53,711Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on "No" at 97.5% for a new Abraham Accords signatory by August 31, 2026, stems from the absence of active negotiations approaching formal completion in the remaining window. Kazakhstan joined in early 2026 and Somaliland pledged in late 2025, but subsequent U.S. and Israeli diplomatic efforts targeting Saudi Arabia, Syria, Lebanon, and additional Central Asian states have produced only exploratory talks without verified breakthroughs. Core obstacles, including requirements for Palestinian state progress and regional security conditions tied to Israeli operations, continue to block rapid movement. The short timeline leaves little room for the multilateral coordination, public announcements, and bilateral signings needed for accession. Unexpected late developments, such as a surprise normalization agreement with a state like Azerbaijan or Oman, could still shift the outcome before the deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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