Israeli officials have signaled readiness for renewed large-scale operations in Gaza if Hamas refuses to disarm under the U.S.-backed framework, with Defense Minister Israel Katz stating the IDF is prepared to eliminate remaining militant capabilities by force. A ceasefire has held since October 2025, yet Israel continues targeted airstrikes—such as the September 15 killing of Hamas Rafah Brigade commander Nael Abu Obeid and other senior figures—while reporting 14 ceasefire violations in early September and maintaining control along the Yellow Line. Hamas retains arms and governance in parts of the Strip outside Israeli-held areas, stalling broader political transition plans overseen by the Board of Peace. These dynamics, alongside planned U.S. arms deliveries and Israeli domestic political pressures, shape trader assessments of escalation risks before year-end deadlines.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$758,282 KL.
Oct 30, 2025
31 tháng 12
9%
$758,282 KL.
31 tháng 12
$108,651 KL.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli officials have signaled readiness for renewed large-scale operations in Gaza if Hamas refuses to disarm under the U.S.-backed framework, with Defense Minister Israel Katz stating the IDF is prepared to eliminate remaining militant capabilities by force. A ceasefire has held since October 2025, yet Israel continues targeted airstrikes—such as the September 15 killing of Hamas Rafah Brigade commander Nael Abu Obeid and other senior figures—while reporting 14 ceasefire violations in early September and maintaining control along the Yellow Line. Hamas retains arms and governance in parts of the Strip outside Israeli-held areas, stalling broader political transition plans overseen by the Board of Peace. These dynamics, alongside planned U.S. arms deliveries and Israeli domestic political pressures, shape trader assessments of escalation risks before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$758,282Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2025Thị trường mở
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli officials have signaled readiness for renewed large-scale operations in Gaza if Hamas refuses to disarm under the U.S.-backed framework, with Defense Minister Israel Katz stating the IDF is prepared to eliminate remaining militant capabilities by force. A ceasefire has held since October 2025, yet Israel continues targeted airstrikes—such as the September 15 killing of Hamas Rafah Brigade commander Nael Abu Obeid and other senior figures—while reporting 14 ceasefire violations in early September and maintaining control along the Yellow Line. Hamas retains arms and governance in parts of the Strip outside Israeli-held areas, stalling broader political transition plans overseen by the Board of Peace. These dynamics, alongside planned U.S. arms deliveries and Israeli domestic political pressures, shape trader assessments of escalation risks before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$758,282Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2025Thị trường mở
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Israeli officials have signaled readiness for renewed large-scale operations in Gaza if Hamas refuses to disarm under the U.S.-backed framework, with Defense Minister Israel Katz stating the IDF is prepared to eliminate remaining militant capabilities by force. A ceasefire has held since October 2025, yet Israel continues targeted airstrikes—such as the September 15 killing of Hamas Rafah Brigade commander Nael Abu Obeid and other senior figures—while reporting 14 ceasefire violations in early September and maintaining control along the Yellow Line. Hamas retains arms and governance in parts of the Strip outside Israeli-held areas, stalling broader political transition plans overseen by the Board of Peace. These dynamics, alongside planned U.S. arms deliveries and Israeli domestic political pressures, shape trader assessments of escalation risks before year-end deadlines.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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