The near-certain trader consensus on “No” for a new country joining the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, reflects the absence of any active bilateral negotiations or U.S.-mediated processes approaching a formal signing in the remaining days. Kazakhstan completed accession earlier in 2026, and Somaliland issued a pledge in late 2025, but subsequent outreach to Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Lebanon has stalled amid Riyadh’s insistence on concrete Palestinian state commitments and unresolved security issues in Damascus and Beirut. U.S. statements linking a Saudi nuclear agreement to normalization have not produced movement, and no other states have signaled imminent steps. A last-minute symbolic accession by a country with pre-existing ties or an unexpected diplomatic announcement remains possible but would require rapid procedural completion within the narrow window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật4% khả năng
$53,296 KL.
$53,296 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
4% khả năng
$53,296 KL.
$53,296 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.The near-certain trader consensus on “No” for a new country joining the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, reflects the absence of any active bilateral negotiations or U.S.-mediated processes approaching a formal signing in the remaining days. Kazakhstan completed accession earlier in 2026, and Somaliland issued a pledge in late 2025, but subsequent outreach to Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Lebanon has stalled amid Riyadh’s insistence on concrete Palestinian state commitments and unresolved security issues in Damascus and Beirut. U.S. statements linking a Saudi nuclear agreement to normalization have not produced movement, and no other states have signaled imminent steps. A last-minute symbolic accession by a country with pre-existing ties or an unexpected diplomatic announcement remains possible but would require rapid procedural completion within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$53,296Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.The near-certain trader consensus on “No” for a new country joining the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, reflects the absence of any active bilateral negotiations or U.S.-mediated processes approaching a formal signing in the remaining days. Kazakhstan completed accession earlier in 2026, and Somaliland issued a pledge in late 2025, but subsequent outreach to Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Lebanon has stalled amid Riyadh’s insistence on concrete Palestinian state commitments and unresolved security issues in Damascus and Beirut. U.S. statements linking a Saudi nuclear agreement to normalization have not produced movement, and no other states have signaled imminent steps. A last-minute symbolic accession by a country with pre-existing ties or an unexpected diplomatic announcement remains possible but would require rapid procedural completion within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$53,296Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The near-certain trader consensus on “No” for a new country joining the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, reflects the absence of any active bilateral negotiations or U.S.-mediated processes approaching a formal signing in the remaining days. Kazakhstan completed accession earlier in 2026, and Somaliland issued a pledge in late 2025, but subsequent outreach to Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Lebanon has stalled amid Riyadh’s insistence on concrete Palestinian state commitments and unresolved security issues in Damascus and Beirut. U.S. statements linking a Saudi nuclear agreement to normalization have not produced movement, and no other states have signaled imminent steps. A last-minute symbolic accession by a country with pre-existing ties or an unexpected diplomatic announcement remains possible but would require rapid procedural completion within the narrow window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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