US pressure linking a Saudi civil nuclear deal to Abraham Accords accession has not overcome Riyadh’s insistence on an irreversible Palestinian statehood pathway, a precondition unchanged in recent months. No other candidate states, including Indonesia or Syria, have advanced formal normalization talks to the signing stage. The last accession, by Kazakhstan, occurred in late 2025. With roughly two months remaining until the October 31 deadline and no scheduled summits or bilateral breakthroughs announced, traders assess the probability of a new signatory as low. Late diplomatic shifts or unexpected concessions could still alter the outlook before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật11% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 31, 2026
11% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.US pressure linking a Saudi civil nuclear deal to Abraham Accords accession has not overcome Riyadh’s insistence on an irreversible Palestinian statehood pathway, a precondition unchanged in recent months. No other candidate states, including Indonesia or Syria, have advanced formal normalization talks to the signing stage. The last accession, by Kazakhstan, occurred in late 2025. With roughly two months remaining until the October 31 deadline and no scheduled summits or bilateral breakthroughs announced, traders assess the probability of a new signatory as low. Late diplomatic shifts or unexpected concessions could still alter the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Khối lượng
$794Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.US pressure linking a Saudi civil nuclear deal to Abraham Accords accession has not overcome Riyadh’s insistence on an irreversible Palestinian statehood pathway, a precondition unchanged in recent months. No other candidate states, including Indonesia or Syria, have advanced formal normalization talks to the signing stage. The last accession, by Kazakhstan, occurred in late 2025. With roughly two months remaining until the October 31 deadline and no scheduled summits or bilateral breakthroughs announced, traders assess the probability of a new signatory as low. Late diplomatic shifts or unexpected concessions could still alter the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$794Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US pressure linking a Saudi civil nuclear deal to Abraham Accords accession has not overcome Riyadh’s insistence on an irreversible Palestinian statehood pathway, a precondition unchanged in recent months. No other candidate states, including Indonesia or Syria, have advanced formal normalization talks to the signing stage. The last accession, by Kazakhstan, occurred in late 2025. With roughly two months remaining until the October 31 deadline and no scheduled summits or bilateral breakthroughs announced, traders assess the probability of a new signatory as low. Late diplomatic shifts or unexpected concessions could still alter the outlook before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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