Ongoing US-Iran tensions center on stalled negotiations over Strait of Hormuz access and Iran's nuclear program following the February 2026 outbreak of hostilities and the June memorandum of understanding. As of mid-August 2026, direct and indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan remain deadlocked, with Iran rejecting US assertions of control over shipping lanes and conditioning any reopening on sanctions relief and an end to military pressure. Recent tanker incidents, intermittent strikes, and competing blockade measures have sustained economic and military friction without triggering a formal congressional declaration of war. Traders monitor White House statements on de-escalation timelines, Senate dynamics around any authorization requests, and regional diplomatic signals that could shift toward or away from escalated conflict.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiệu Mỹ có chính thức tuyên chiến với Iran vào...?
Liệu Mỹ có chính thức tuyên chiến với Iran vào...?
$7,764,533 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
31 tháng 12
3%
$7,764,533 KL.
31 tháng 12
$791,899 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran tensions center on stalled negotiations over Strait of Hormuz access and Iran's nuclear program following the February 2026 outbreak of hostilities and the June memorandum of understanding. As of mid-August 2026, direct and indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan remain deadlocked, with Iran rejecting US assertions of control over shipping lanes and conditioning any reopening on sanctions relief and an end to military pressure. Recent tanker incidents, intermittent strikes, and competing blockade measures have sustained economic and military friction without triggering a formal congressional declaration of war. Traders monitor White House statements on de-escalation timelines, Senate dynamics around any authorization requests, and regional diplomatic signals that could shift toward or away from escalated conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,764,533Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran tensions center on stalled negotiations over Strait of Hormuz access and Iran's nuclear program following the February 2026 outbreak of hostilities and the June memorandum of understanding. As of mid-August 2026, direct and indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan remain deadlocked, with Iran rejecting US assertions of control over shipping lanes and conditioning any reopening on sanctions relief and an end to military pressure. Recent tanker incidents, intermittent strikes, and competing blockade measures have sustained economic and military friction without triggering a formal congressional declaration of war. Traders monitor White House statements on de-escalation timelines, Senate dynamics around any authorization requests, and regional diplomatic signals that could shift toward or away from escalated conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$7,764,533Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran tensions center on stalled negotiations over Strait of Hormuz access and Iran's nuclear program following the February 2026 outbreak of hostilities and the June memorandum of understanding. As of mid-August 2026, direct and indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan remain deadlocked, with Iran rejecting US assertions of control over shipping lanes and conditioning any reopening on sanctions relief and an end to military pressure. Recent tanker incidents, intermittent strikes, and competing blockade measures have sustained economic and military friction without triggering a formal congressional declaration of war. Traders monitor White House statements on de-escalation timelines, Senate dynamics around any authorization requests, and regional diplomatic signals that could shift toward or away from escalated conflict.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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