Jannik Sinner's status as the defending Wimbledon champion and dominant world No. 1 underpins his leading 57.5% implied probability, even after an early Roland Garros exit and a deliberate choice to skip official grass warm-ups in favor of hard-court training and a late Hurlingham exhibition. Traders view his overall level and serve as decisive advantages on the surface. Novak Djokovic sits second at 11.9% due to his unmatched grass-court experience, tactical acumen, and focused schedule aimed at freshness for the fortnight despite turning 39. Early grass results from players like Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton, combined with limited head-to-head data on the lawns this season, help explain the spread among the remaining field, where form, movement, and draw positioning shape the tighter probabilities behind the top two.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於揚尼克·辛納 59%
諾瓦克·喬科維奇 10.1%
亞歷山大·茲韋列夫 7.8%
本·謝爾頓 3.5%
$9,760,457 交易量
$9,760,457 交易量
揚尼克·辛納
59%
諾瓦克·喬科維奇
10%
亞歷山大·茲韋列夫
8%
本·謝爾頓
3%
泰勒·弗里茨
3%
達尼爾·梅德韋傑夫
2%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
亞歷克斯·德米納爾
1%
弗朗西斯·蒂亞福
1%
亞歷山大·布布里克
1%
費利克斯·奧熱-阿利亞西姆
1%
馬泰奧·貝雷蒂尼
1%
湯米·保羅
1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1%
若昂·丰塞卡
1%
烏戈·亨伯特
1%
安德烈·魯布廖夫
<1%
胡貝特·胡爾卡奇
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
亞瑟·菲斯
<1%
卡斯帕·魯德
<1%
斯特凡諾斯·西西帕斯
<1%
卡倫·哈查諾夫
<1%
喬瓦尼·姆佩奇·佩里卡
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
格里戈爾·季米特洛夫
<1%
阿列克謝·波皮林
<1%
卡梅倫·諾里
<1%
馬林·契利奇
<1%
Gabriel Diallo
<1%
洛倫佐·索內戈
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
尼古拉斯·賈里
<1%
揚尼克·辛納 59%
諾瓦克·喬科維奇 10.1%
亞歷山大·茲韋列夫 7.8%
本·謝爾頓 3.5%
$9,760,457 交易量
$9,760,457 交易量
揚尼克·辛納
59%
諾瓦克·喬科維奇
10%
亞歷山大·茲韋列夫
8%
本·謝爾頓
3%
泰勒·弗里茨
3%
達尼爾·梅德韋傑夫
2%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
亞歷克斯·德米納爾
1%
弗朗西斯·蒂亞福
1%
亞歷山大·布布里克
1%
費利克斯·奧熱-阿利亞西姆
1%
馬泰奧·貝雷蒂尼
1%
湯米·保羅
1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1%
若昂·丰塞卡
1%
烏戈·亨伯特
1%
安德烈·魯布廖夫
<1%
胡貝特·胡爾卡奇
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
亞瑟·菲斯
<1%
卡斯帕·魯德
<1%
斯特凡諾斯·西西帕斯
<1%
卡倫·哈查諾夫
<1%
喬瓦尼·姆佩奇·佩里卡
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
格里戈爾·季米特洛夫
<1%
阿列克謝·波皮林
<1%
卡梅倫·諾里
<1%
馬林·契利奇
<1%
Gabriel Diallo
<1%
洛倫佐·索內戈
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
尼古拉斯·賈里
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner's status as the defending Wimbledon champion and dominant world No. 1 underpins his leading 57.5% implied probability, even after an early Roland Garros exit and a deliberate choice to skip official grass warm-ups in favor of hard-court training and a late Hurlingham exhibition. Traders view his overall level and serve as decisive advantages on the surface. Novak Djokovic sits second at 11.9% due to his unmatched grass-court experience, tactical acumen, and focused schedule aimed at freshness for the fortnight despite turning 39. Early grass results from players like Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton, combined with limited head-to-head data on the lawns this season, help explain the spread among the remaining field, where form, movement, and draw positioning shape the tighter probabilities behind the top two.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions