The 2026 U.S. Open field at Shinnecock Hills features an unusually balanced distribution of elite talent across nationalities, with world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler (USA) the clear individual favorite yet offset by Rory McIlroy (Northern Ireland), Jon Rahm (Spain), Matt Fitzpatrick (England), Ludvig Åberg (Sweden), and others in the top tier. Recent OWGR standings and major results show no single country holding a decisive edge in current form, iron play, or major-championship experience on firm, fast setups. This parity, combined with the course’s emphasis on ball-striking and course management over raw power, has produced tight trader consensus around 50% implied probability for numerous nations, underscoring how a strong week from any of several contenders could decide the winner’s nationality.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Northern Ireland 50%
Italy 50%
Austria 50%
Spain 50%
Northern Ireland
50%
Italy
50%
Austria
50%
Spain
50%
Canada
50%
Sweden
50%
Argentina
50%
South Africa
50%
France
50%
Chile
50%
United States of America
50%
England
50%
Japan
50%
Republic of Korea
50%
Norway
50%
Denmark
50%
Republic of Ireland
50%
Scotland
50%
Colombia
50%
Belgium
50%
Mexico
50%
New Zealand
50%
Iceland
50%
People's Republic of China
50%
Australia
50%
Northern Ireland 50%
Italy 50%
Austria 50%
Spain 50%
Northern Ireland
50%
Italy
50%
Austria
50%
Spain
50%
Canada
50%
Sweden
50%
Argentina
50%
South Africa
50%
France
50%
Chile
50%
United States of America
50%
England
50%
Japan
50%
Republic of Korea
50%
Norway
50%
Denmark
50%
Republic of Ireland
50%
Scotland
50%
Colombia
50%
Belgium
50%
Mexico
50%
New Zealand
50%
Iceland
50%
People's Republic of China
50%
Australia
50%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nationality of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a champion has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website.
市場開放時間： Jun 16, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nationality of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a champion has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 U.S. Open field at Shinnecock Hills features an unusually balanced distribution of elite talent across nationalities, with world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler (USA) the clear individual favorite yet offset by Rory McIlroy (Northern Ireland), Jon Rahm (Spain), Matt Fitzpatrick (England), Ludvig Åberg (Sweden), and others in the top tier. Recent OWGR standings and major results show no single country holding a decisive edge in current form, iron play, or major-championship experience on firm, fast setups. This parity, combined with the course’s emphasis on ball-striking and course management over raw power, has produced tight trader consensus around 50% implied probability for numerous nations, underscoring how a strong week from any of several contenders could decide the winner’s nationality.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions