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運動·PGA

Will there be a hole in one at the 2026 U.S. Open?

icon for Will there be a hole in one at the 2026 U.S. Open?
運動·PGA

Will there be a hole in one at the 2026 U.S. Open?

34% 機率
Polymarket
最新
34% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, or postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).The demanding layout at Shinnecock Hills, host of the 2026 U.S. Open, features four exacting par-3 holes averaging nearly 194 yards, highlighted by the 252-yard second with its uphill approach, false front, and wind influence, plus the precision-testing Redan seventh and narrow 11th and 17th. These setups, combined with firm greens, penal rough, strategic bunkering, and crosswinds typical of the Long Island site, make ace attempts low-percentage plays even for the elite field. Historical rarity of holes-in-one across prior U.S. Opens at the venue and similar major setups reinforces the current trader consensus around a 66.5% implied probability for none occurring during the championship.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.

If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, or postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-06-21
市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 2:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, or postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, or postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).The demanding layout at Shinnecock Hills, host of the 2026 U.S. Open, features four exacting par-3 holes averaging nearly 194 yards, highlighted by the 252-yard second with its uphill approach, false front, and wind influence, plus the precision-testing Redan seventh and narrow 11th and 17th. These setups, combined with firm greens, penal rough, strategic bunkering, and crosswinds typical of the Long Island site, make ace attempts low-percentage plays even for the elite field. Historical rarity of holes-in-one across prior U.S. Opens at the venue and similar major setups reinforces the current trader consensus around a 66.5% implied probability for none occurring during the championship.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.

If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, or postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-06-21
市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 2:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, or postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will there be a hole in one at the 2026 U.S. Open?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 34% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 34¢, the market collectively assigns a 34% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will there be a hole in one at the 2026 U.S. Open?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will there be a hole in one at the 2026 U.S. Open?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will there be a hole in one at the 2026 U.S. Open?" is 34% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 34% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will there be a hole in one at the 2026 U.S. Open?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.