The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills features a 156-player field where probabilities for the lowest single round remain tightly bunched near 50% for most contenders. This reflects the extreme variance inherent to one round on a firm, wind-exposed layout that rewards precise ball-striking and course management over raw power. Recent form, major-championship experience, and approach-play metrics position players such as Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and Tyrrell Hatton among the consensus leaders, yet the setup’s difficulty—wide fairways narrowing into thick rough and rolling greens—ensures no single golfer dominates expectations for a record-low score. Depth across the field, including in-form names like Russell Henley, Matt Fitzpatrick, and emerging talents such as Ludvig Åberg, sustains the competitive balance, as any participant can produce an outlier round under shifting conditions. Trader consensus therefore prices the outcome as broadly distributed rather than concentrated on a clear favorite.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Min Woo Lee 50%
Alex Smalley 50%
Jordan Spieth 50%
Scottie Scheffler 50%
Min Woo Lee
50%
Alex Smalley
50%
Jordan Spieth
50%
Scottie Scheffler
50%
Matt Fitzpatrick
50%
Tommy Fleetwood
50%
Collin Morikawa
50%
Xander Schauffele
50%
Ludvig Åberg
50%
Aaron Rai
50%
Justin Thomas
50%
Tyrrell Hatton
50%
Ryan Gerard
50%
Kristoffer Reitan
50%
Patrick Reed
50%
Viktor Hovland
50%
Sam Burns
50%
Wyndham Clark
50%
Patrick Cantlay
50%
Maverick McNealy
50%
J.T. Poston
50%
Jake Knapp
50%
Gary Woodland
50%
Joaquin Niemann
50%
David Puig
50%
Rory McIlroy
50%
Cameron Young
50%
Russell Henley
50%
Justin Rose
50%
Jon Rahm
50%
J.J. Spaun
50%
Chris Gotterup
50%
Ben Griffin
50%
Robert MacIntyre
50%
Si Woo Kim
50%
Sepp Straka
50%
Alex Noren
50%
Hideki Matsuyama
50%
Jacob Bridgeman
50%
Akshay Bhatia
50%
Kurt Kitayama
50%
Bryson DeChambeau
50%
Nicolai Højgaard
50%
Keegan Bradley
50%
Bud Cauley
50%
Shane Lowry
50%
Jason Day
50%
Adam Scott
50%
Michael Kim
50%
Cameron Smith
50%
Dustin Johnson
50%
Carlos Ortiz
50%
Lucas Herbert
50%
Laurie Canter
50%
Harris English
49%
Daniel Berger
46%
Rickie Fowler
46%
Min Woo Lee 50%
Alex Smalley 50%
Jordan Spieth 50%
Scottie Scheffler 50%
Min Woo Lee
50%
Alex Smalley
50%
Jordan Spieth
50%
Scottie Scheffler
50%
Matt Fitzpatrick
50%
Tommy Fleetwood
50%
Collin Morikawa
50%
Xander Schauffele
50%
Ludvig Åberg
50%
Aaron Rai
50%
Justin Thomas
50%
Tyrrell Hatton
50%
Ryan Gerard
50%
Kristoffer Reitan
50%
Patrick Reed
50%
Viktor Hovland
50%
Sam Burns
50%
Wyndham Clark
50%
Patrick Cantlay
50%
Maverick McNealy
50%
J.T. Poston
50%
Jake Knapp
50%
Gary Woodland
50%
Joaquin Niemann
50%
David Puig
50%
Rory McIlroy
50%
Cameron Young
50%
Russell Henley
50%
Justin Rose
50%
Jon Rahm
50%
J.J. Spaun
50%
Chris Gotterup
50%
Ben Griffin
50%
Robert MacIntyre
50%
Si Woo Kim
50%
Sepp Straka
50%
Alex Noren
50%
Hideki Matsuyama
50%
Jacob Bridgeman
50%
Akshay Bhatia
50%
Kurt Kitayama
50%
Bryson DeChambeau
50%
Nicolai Højgaard
50%
Keegan Bradley
50%
Bud Cauley
50%
Shane Lowry
50%
Jason Day
50%
Adam Scott
50%
Michael Kim
50%
Cameron Smith
50%
Dustin Johnson
50%
Carlos Ortiz
50%
Lucas Herbert
50%
Laurie Canter
50%
Harris English
49%
Daniel Berger
46%
Rickie Fowler
46%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the final round in which they played. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the player with the best round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
市場開放時間: Jun 16, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the final round in which they played. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the player with the best round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills features a 156-player field where probabilities for the lowest single round remain tightly bunched near 50% for most contenders. This reflects the extreme variance inherent to one round on a firm, wind-exposed layout that rewards precise ball-striking and course management over raw power. Recent form, major-championship experience, and approach-play metrics position players such as Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and Tyrrell Hatton among the consensus leaders, yet the setup’s difficulty—wide fairways narrowing into thick rough and rolling greens—ensures no single golfer dominates expectations for a record-low score. Depth across the field, including in-form names like Russell Henley, Matt Fitzpatrick, and emerging talents such as Ludvig Åberg, sustains the competitive balance, as any participant can produce an outlier round under shifting conditions. Trader consensus therefore prices the outcome as broadly distributed rather than concentrated on a clear favorite.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions