The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills, a par-70 layout renowned for its firm, windy conditions and penal rough, opens Thursday with a wide-open first-round leader market. Traders have clustered nearly every listed contender—including McIlroy, Spaun, Reed, Burns, Kitayama, Spieth, Johnson, Clark, Lowry, Thomas, Schauffele, Åberg, Hovland, DeChambeau, and Scheffler (at 48.5%)—near 50% implied probability because no player has demonstrated consistent early-round dominance on comparable setups this season. Recent form shows streaky iron play and putting across the field, while practice-round reports highlight variable wind and firm greens that reward precise ball-striking but punish aggressive lines. The absence of a clear hot hand or course-specific specialist keeps the race tight, as Thursday pairings, pin placements, and weather windows can elevate any solid ball-striker for a low opening score.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Gary Woodland 50%
Patrick Reed 50%
Alex Smalley 50%
Wyndham Clark 50%
Gary Woodland
50%
Patrick Reed
50%
Alex Smalley
50%
Wyndham Clark
50%
Nicolai Højgaard
50%
Justin Thomas
50%
Cameron Young
50%
Matt Fitzpatrick
50%
Xander Schauffele
50%
Akshay Bhatia
50%
Robert MacIntyre
50%
Sepp Straka
50%
Tyrrell Hatton
50%
Hideki Matsuyama
50%
Viktor Hovland
50%
Min Woo Lee
50%
Maverick McNealy
50%
Keegan Bradley
50%
Bud Cauley
50%
Adam Scott
50%
Carlos Ortiz
50%
David Puig
50%
Laurie Canter
50%
Kristoffer Reitan
50%
Patrick Cantlay
50%
Joaquin Niemann
50%
Tommy Fleetwood
50%
Jon Rahm
50%
Aaron Rai
50%
Russell Henley
50%
Chris Gotterup
50%
Ryan Gerard
50%
Justin Rose
50%
Collin Morikawa
50%
Si Woo Kim
50%
Harris English
50%
Ben Griffin
50%
Jacob Bridgeman
50%
Cameron Smith
50%
Jordan Spieth
48%
Bryson DeChambeau
48%
J.T. Poston
47%
Scottie Scheffler
47%
J.J. Spaun
29%
Rory McIlroy
29%
Jake Knapp
28%
Ludvig Åberg
27%
Rickie Fowler
27%
Shane Lowry
26%
Dustin Johnson
26%
Alex Noren
5%
Sam Burns
5%
Kurt Kitayama
5%
Lucas Herbert
5%
Daniel Berger
5%
Jason Day
5%
Michael Kim
5%
Gary Woodland 50%
Patrick Reed 50%
Alex Smalley 50%
Wyndham Clark 50%
Gary Woodland
50%
Patrick Reed
50%
Alex Smalley
50%
Wyndham Clark
50%
Nicolai Højgaard
50%
Justin Thomas
50%
Cameron Young
50%
Matt Fitzpatrick
50%
Xander Schauffele
50%
Akshay Bhatia
50%
Robert MacIntyre
50%
Sepp Straka
50%
Tyrrell Hatton
50%
Hideki Matsuyama
50%
Viktor Hovland
50%
Min Woo Lee
50%
Maverick McNealy
50%
Keegan Bradley
50%
Bud Cauley
50%
Adam Scott
50%
Carlos Ortiz
50%
David Puig
50%
Laurie Canter
50%
Kristoffer Reitan
50%
Patrick Cantlay
50%
Joaquin Niemann
50%
Tommy Fleetwood
50%
Jon Rahm
50%
Aaron Rai
50%
Russell Henley
50%
Chris Gotterup
50%
Ryan Gerard
50%
Justin Rose
50%
Collin Morikawa
50%
Si Woo Kim
50%
Harris English
50%
Ben Griffin
50%
Jacob Bridgeman
50%
Cameron Smith
50%
Jordan Spieth
48%
Bryson DeChambeau
48%
J.T. Poston
47%
Scottie Scheffler
47%
J.J. Spaun
29%
Rory McIlroy
29%
Jake Knapp
28%
Ludvig Åberg
27%
Rickie Fowler
27%
Shane Lowry
26%
Dustin Johnson
26%
Alex Noren
5%
Sam Burns
5%
Kurt Kitayama
5%
Lucas Herbert
5%
Daniel Berger
5%
Jason Day
5%
Michael Kim
5%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
市場開放時間: Jun 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills, a par-70 layout renowned for its firm, windy conditions and penal rough, opens Thursday with a wide-open first-round leader market. Traders have clustered nearly every listed contender—including McIlroy, Spaun, Reed, Burns, Kitayama, Spieth, Johnson, Clark, Lowry, Thomas, Schauffele, Åberg, Hovland, DeChambeau, and Scheffler (at 48.5%)—near 50% implied probability because no player has demonstrated consistent early-round dominance on comparable setups this season. Recent form shows streaky iron play and putting across the field, while practice-round reports highlight variable wind and firm greens that reward precise ball-striking but punish aggressive lines. The absence of a clear hot hand or course-specific specialist keeps the race tight, as Thursday pairings, pin placements, and weather windows can elevate any solid ball-striker for a low opening score.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions