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icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$150,199 交易量

2027-04-17
Polymarket

$150,199 交易量

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,705 交易量

96%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$5,180 交易量

86%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$10,219 交易量

86%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$2,397 交易量

81%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$2,800 交易量

76%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$6,769 交易量

76%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$2,615 交易量

69%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$5,209 交易量

53%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$576 交易量

59%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$5,291 交易量

45%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$5,821 交易量

43%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$4,631 交易量

41%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$979 交易量

34%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$1,619 交易量

31%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$4,695 交易量

30%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$2,338 交易量

22%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$4,565 交易量

19%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$3,806 交易量

16%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,896 交易量

13%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$10,183 交易量

13%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$350 交易量

10%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$1,621 交易量

9%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$2,385 交易量

9%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$2,250 交易量

9%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$2,539 交易量

8%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$1,756 交易量

8%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$1,642 交易量

7%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$2,842 交易量

7%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$2,727 交易量

7%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$1,265 交易量

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$1,557 交易量

7%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,742 交易量

6%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$4,748 交易量

6%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$3,408 交易量

6%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$743 交易量

5%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$1,258 交易量

4%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$972 交易量

4%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$999 交易量

4%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,576 交易量

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$19,686 交易量

3%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$352 交易量

3%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$345 交易量

3%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$478 交易量

2%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$970 交易量

2%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$590 交易量

2%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$2,102 交易量

2%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$150,199
結束日期
2027-04-17
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$150,199
結束日期
2027-04-17
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 46+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 96%, followed by "Nathalie Arthaud" at 86%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" has generated $150.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?," browse the 46+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nathalie Arthaud" at 86%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.