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選舉·美國大選

阿拉斯加州參議院選舉贏家

icon for 阿拉斯加州參議院選舉贏家
選舉·美國大選

阿拉斯加州參議院選舉贏家

瑪麗·佩爾托拉 62%

丹·沙利文 40%

達斯汀·達登 <1%

安·迪納 <1%

Polymarket

$324,061 交易量

瑪麗·佩爾托拉 62%

丹·沙利文 40%

達斯汀·達登 <1%

安·迪納 <1%

Polymarket

$324,061 交易量

icon for 瑪麗·佩爾托拉

瑪麗·佩爾托拉

$158,950 交易量

62%

icon for 丹·沙利文

丹·沙利文

$89,559 交易量

40%

icon for 達斯汀·達登

達斯汀·達登

$21,303 交易量

<1%

icon for 安·迪納

安·迪納

$33,723 交易量

<1%

icon for 理查德·格雷森

理查德·格雷森

$20,526 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Recent polling from April shows Democratic challenger Mary Peltola holding a narrow lead over incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan in head-to-head matchups under Alaska's ranked-choice voting system, a factor reflected in trader consensus favoring her at 61.5 percent implied probability. Peltola's record first-quarter fundraising of nearly $9 million, more than four times Sullivan's total, has enabled aggressive outreach on affordability measures such as targeted income tax relief amid voter economic concerns. Both candidates back major resource development projects, while Sullivan recently secured an endorsement from the state's regional Native corporations. The August jungle primary and November general election remain key milestones that could influence preference flows and turnout in this competitive race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
交易量
$324,061
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Recent polling from April shows Democratic challenger Mary Peltola holding a narrow lead over incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan in head-to-head matchups under Alaska's ranked-choice voting system, a factor reflected in trader consensus favoring her at 61.5 percent implied probability. Peltola's record first-quarter fundraising of nearly $9 million, more than four times Sullivan's total, has enabled aggressive outreach on affordability measures such as targeted income tax relief amid voter economic concerns. Both candidates back major resource development projects, while Sullivan recently secured an endorsement from the state's regional Native corporations. The August jungle primary and November general election remain key milestones that could influence preference flows and turnout in this competitive race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
交易量
$324,061
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"阿拉斯加州參議院選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "瑪麗·佩爾托拉" at 62%, followed by "丹·沙利文" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "阿拉斯加州參議院選舉贏家" has generated $324.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "阿拉斯加州參議院選舉贏家," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "阿拉斯加州參議院選舉贏家" is "瑪麗·佩爾托拉" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "丹·沙利文" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "阿拉斯加州參議院選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.