**The decisive catalyst for current trader sentiment on The Bachelorette Season 22 winner market is ABC’s March 19, 2026 cancellation of the season just three days before its scheduled premiere.** A newly surfaced 2023 video showing lead Taylor Frankie Paul in a physical altercation with her ex-partner prompted Disney Entertainment Television to shelve the already-filmed installment amid public scrutiny and an ongoing investigation. This development elevated “Other (Season Cancelled)” to the clear frontrunner at 58.5% implied probability, reflecting the network’s explicit statement that the season would not move forward. Doug Mason’s secondary position at 22.3% stems from consistent post-cancellation reporting identifying him as Paul’s intended finale choice, reinforced by later accounts of the pair rekindling their relationship. The remaining named contestants sit at or below 1%, consistent with the absence of any on-air resolution or renewed airing plans as of mid-August 2026. Traders appear to be pricing in the high likelihood that the season stays unaired while still allowing for residual uncertainty around archival footage or future franchise decisions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於單身女郎第22賽季獲勝者
其他(本季取消) 76%
道格·梅森 25.9%
Johnnie LaRossa 1.0%
Casey Hux 1.0%
$2,455,955 交易量
$2,455,955 交易量
其他(本季取消)
61%
道格·梅森
22%
Johnnie LaRossa
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Rod Strozier
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
馬利克·埃文斯
1%
Shane Parton
1%
Brad Ledford
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
布蘭登·珀斯
1%
馬特·卡羅爾
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Clayton Johnson
<1%
康拉德·烏克羅皮納
<1%
理查德·范德沃特
<1%
Christopher Wood
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
凱文·蒙特羅
<1%
邁克爾·巴巴
<1%
Aaron Kahng
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
其他(本季取消) 76%
道格·梅森 25.9%
Johnnie LaRossa 1.0%
Casey Hux 1.0%
$2,455,955 交易量
$2,455,955 交易量
其他(本季取消)
61%
道格·梅森
22%
Johnnie LaRossa
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Rod Strozier
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
馬利克·埃文斯
1%
Shane Parton
1%
Brad Ledford
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
布蘭登·珀斯
1%
馬特·卡羅爾
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Clayton Johnson
<1%
康拉德·烏克羅皮納
<1%
理查德·范德沃特
<1%
Christopher Wood
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
凱文·蒙特羅
<1%
邁克爾·巴巴
<1%
Aaron Kahng
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
市場開放時間: Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**The decisive catalyst for current trader sentiment on The Bachelorette Season 22 winner market is ABC’s March 19, 2026 cancellation of the season just three days before its scheduled premiere.** A newly surfaced 2023 video showing lead Taylor Frankie Paul in a physical altercation with her ex-partner prompted Disney Entertainment Television to shelve the already-filmed installment amid public scrutiny and an ongoing investigation. This development elevated “Other (Season Cancelled)” to the clear frontrunner at 58.5% implied probability, reflecting the network’s explicit statement that the season would not move forward. Doug Mason’s secondary position at 22.3% stems from consistent post-cancellation reporting identifying him as Paul’s intended finale choice, reinforced by later accounts of the pair rekindling their relationship. The remaining named contestants sit at or below 1%, consistent with the absence of any on-air resolution or renewed airing plans as of mid-August 2026. Traders appear to be pricing in the high likelihood that the season stays unaired while still allowing for residual uncertainty around archival footage or future franchise decisions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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