Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed launched their joint Hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, aiming to defeat the Ender Dragon, Wither, Elder Guardian, and Warden without stopping the stream. Early footage shows rapid deaths—17 in the first day alone—primarily from skeletons, zombies, falls, and blazes, consistent with their limited hardcore experience and the mode's permanent consequences. This pace, combined with the marathon's extended timeline and coordination challenges, has driven trader consensus toward 90+ total in-game deaths at 82.5% implied probability. Ongoing streams continue to highlight frequent respawns, reinforcing expectations that cumulative deaths will exceed lower brackets before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Kai和Speed Minecraft馬拉鬆期間的遊戲內死亡人數？
Kai和Speed Minecraft馬拉鬆期間的遊戲內死亡人數？
90+ 83%
70-89 10%
50-69 5%
30-49 2.4%
最新
$20,855 交易量
最新
$20,855 交易量
2026-09-30
10-29
1%
30-49
2%
50-69
5%
70-89
10%
90+
83%
90+ 83%
70-89 10%
50-69 5%
30-49 2.4%
最新
$20,855 交易量
最新
$20,855 交易量
2026-09-30
10-29
$3,475 交易量
1%
30-49
$2,521 交易量
2%
50-69
$1,858 交易量
5%
70-89
$1,023 交易量
10%
90+
$9,919 交易量
83%
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it.
This market will resolve according to the final value displayed on the in-game death counter on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon.
The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated. It will not matter whether Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode.
If no counter is displayed at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon, the last value displayed on the counter during the marathon will be used.
This bracket will resolve to "No" early if the counter displays a value higher than the range of this bracket.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on the counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the in-game death counter displayed on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed launched their joint Hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, aiming to defeat the Ender Dragon, Wither, Elder Guardian, and Warden without stopping the stream. Early footage shows rapid deaths—17 in the first day alone—primarily from skeletons, zombies, falls, and blazes, consistent with their limited hardcore experience and the mode's permanent consequences. This pace, combined with the marathon's extended timeline and coordination challenges, has driven trader consensus toward 90+ total in-game deaths at 82.5% implied probability. Ongoing streams continue to highlight frequent respawns, reinforcing expectations that cumulative deaths will exceed lower brackets before resolution.
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it.
This market will resolve according to the final value displayed on the in-game death counter on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon.
The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated. It will not matter whether Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode.
If no counter is displayed at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon, the last value displayed on the counter during the marathon will be used.
This bracket will resolve to "No" early if the counter displays a value higher than the range of this bracket.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on the counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the in-game death counter displayed on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).
This market will resolve according to the final value displayed on the in-game death counter on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon.
The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated. It will not matter whether Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode.
If no counter is displayed at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon, the last value displayed on the counter during the marathon will be used.
This bracket will resolve to "No" early if the counter displays a value higher than the range of this bracket.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on the counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the in-game death counter displayed on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
交易量
$20,855結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 6:49 PM ETKai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it.
This market will resolve according to the final value displayed on the in-game death counter on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon.
The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated. It will not matter whether Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode.
If no counter is displayed at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon, the last value displayed on the counter during the marathon will be used.
This bracket will resolve to "No" early if the counter displays a value higher than the range of this bracket.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on the counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the in-game death counter displayed on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed launched their joint Hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, aiming to defeat the Ender Dragon, Wither, Elder Guardian, and Warden without stopping the stream. Early footage shows rapid deaths—17 in the first day alone—primarily from skeletons, zombies, falls, and blazes, consistent with their limited hardcore experience and the mode's permanent consequences. This pace, combined with the marathon's extended timeline and coordination challenges, has driven trader consensus toward 90+ total in-game deaths at 82.5% implied probability. Ongoing streams continue to highlight frequent respawns, reinforcing expectations that cumulative deaths will exceed lower brackets before resolution.
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it.
This market will resolve according to the final value displayed on the in-game death counter on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon.
The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated. It will not matter whether Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode.
If no counter is displayed at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon, the last value displayed on the counter during the marathon will be used.
This bracket will resolve to "No" early if the counter displays a value higher than the range of this bracket.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on the counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the in-game death counter displayed on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).
This market will resolve according to the final value displayed on the in-game death counter on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon.
The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated. It will not matter whether Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode.
If no counter is displayed at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon, the last value displayed on the counter during the marathon will be used.
This bracket will resolve to "No" early if the counter displays a value higher than the range of this bracket.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on the counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the in-game death counter displayed on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).
交易量
$20,855結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 6:49 PM ETKai Cenat and IShowSpeed launched their joint Hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, aiming to defeat the Ender Dragon, Wither, Elder Guardian, and Warden without stopping the stream. Early footage shows rapid deaths—17 in the first day alone—primarily from skeletons, zombies, falls, and blazes, consistent with their limited hardcore experience and the mode's permanent consequences. This pace, combined with the marathon's extended timeline and coordination challenges, has driven trader consensus toward 90+ total in-game deaths at 82.5% implied probability. Ongoing streams continue to highlight frequent respawns, reinforcing expectations that cumulative deaths will exceed lower brackets before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions