Trader consensus centers on 40-64 tweets for the August 8-10 window, implying moderate daily activity consistent with Musk’s recent patterns of Starlink, Starship, and Grok updates. Multiple posts already logged on August 8-9, including detailed threads on satellite bandwidth projections and AI image tools, align with this range and reinforce the 58% implied probability. Lower-volume outcomes below 40 draw secondary support at 28.5% amid occasional slower weekends, while higher brackets remain thin due to historical three-day averages rarely exceeding 65. The market aggregates skin-in-the-game bets on verifiable X activity, with resolution hinging on main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts through August 10.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於40-64 60%
少於40 27%
65-89 13%
90-114 2.1%
$174,009 交易量
$174,009 交易量
2026-08-10
少於40
27%
40-64
60%
65-89
13%
90-114
2%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 60%
少於40 27%
65-89 13%
90-114 2.1%
$174,009 交易量
$174,009 交易量
2026-08-10
少於40
$33,609 交易量
27%
40-64
$18,819 交易量
60%
65-89
$27,834 交易量
13%
90-114
$29,713 交易量
2%
115-139
$23,481 交易量
<1%
140-164
$14,109 交易量
<1%
165-189
$11,580 交易量
<1%
190-214
$3,943 交易量
<1%
215-239
$5,406 交易量
<1%
240+
$5,514 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus centers on 40-64 tweets for the August 8-10 window, implying moderate daily activity consistent with Musk’s recent patterns of Starlink, Starship, and Grok updates. Multiple posts already logged on August 8-9, including detailed threads on satellite bandwidth projections and AI image tools, align with this range and reinforce the 58% implied probability. Lower-volume outcomes below 40 draw secondary support at 28.5% amid occasional slower weekends, while higher brackets remain thin due to historical three-day averages rarely exceeding 65. The market aggregates skin-in-the-game bets on verifiable X activity, with resolution hinging on main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts through August 10.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
交易量
$174,009結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus centers on 40-64 tweets for the August 8-10 window, implying moderate daily activity consistent with Musk’s recent patterns of Starlink, Starship, and Grok updates. Multiple posts already logged on August 8-9, including detailed threads on satellite bandwidth projections and AI image tools, align with this range and reinforce the 58% implied probability. Lower-volume outcomes below 40 draw secondary support at 28.5% amid occasional slower weekends, while higher brackets remain thin due to historical three-day averages rarely exceeding 65. The market aggregates skin-in-the-game bets on verifiable X activity, with resolution hinging on main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts through August 10.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$174,009結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 40-64 tweets for the August 8-10 window, implying moderate daily activity consistent with Musk’s recent patterns of Starlink, Starship, and Grok updates. Multiple posts already logged on August 8-9, including detailed threads on satellite bandwidth projections and AI image tools, align with this range and reinforce the 58% implied probability. Lower-volume outcomes below 40 draw secondary support at 28.5% amid occasional slower weekends, while higher brackets remain thin due to historical three-day averages rarely exceeding 65. The market aggregates skin-in-the-game bets on verifiable X activity, with resolution hinging on main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts through August 10.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions