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icon for 第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？

第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？

icon for 第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？

第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？

8月 8

8月 8

2500–3000萬 47%

3,000–3,500 萬 20%

2000–2500萬 17%

3500–4000萬 14%

Polymarket
最新

2500–3000萬 47%

3,000–3,500 萬 20%

2000–2500萬 17%

3500–4000萬 14%

Polymarket
最新

低於 2,000 萬

$1,523 交易量

2%

2000–2500萬

$1,736 交易量

17%

2500–3000萬

$3,530 交易量

47%

3,000–3,500 萬

$1,367 交易量

20%

3500–4000萬

$111 交易量

14%

4000–4500萬

$138 交易量

5%

4,500–5,000 萬

$84 交易量

3%

5000 萬+

$627 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.Recent MrBeast uploads have shown moderating first-day performance, with several 2026 videos landing in the 30–60 million view range early on amid broader reports of softer initial traction compared to prior peaks. Traders appear to be pricing in sustained audience dynamics, including potential YouTube algorithm shifts and competition for attention, pushing the 25–30 million bracket into the lead. Historical patterns for high-profile challenge or giveaway videos still support a solid floor above 20 million, while upside beyond 35 million would require exceptional buzz or timing. The market reflects this balanced but cautious consensus ahead of the next release.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
交易量
$9,116
結束日期
2026-08-08
市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.Recent MrBeast uploads have shown moderating first-day performance, with several 2026 videos landing in the 30–60 million view range early on amid broader reports of softer initial traction compared to prior peaks. Traders appear to be pricing in sustained audience dynamics, including potential YouTube algorithm shifts and competition for attention, pushing the 25–30 million bracket into the lead. Historical patterns for high-profile challenge or giveaway videos still support a solid floor above 20 million, while upside beyond 35 million would require exceptional buzz or timing. The market reflects this balanced but cautious consensus ahead of the next release.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
交易量
$9,116
結束日期
2026-08-08
市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2500–3000萬" at 47%, followed by "3,000–3,500 萬" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？" is "2500–3000萬" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "3,000–3,500 萬" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "第1天下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.