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icon for 特朗普的拉斯維加斯演講將持續多久?

特朗普的拉斯維加斯演講將持續多久?

icon for 特朗普的拉斯維加斯演講將持續多久?

特朗普的拉斯維加斯演講將持續多久?

50-60分鐘 33%

40-50分鐘 26%

80分鐘以上 21%

60-70分鐘 20%

Polymarket
最新

50-60分鐘 33%

40-50分鐘 26%

80分鐘以上 21%

60-70分鐘 20%

Polymarket
最新

少於20分鐘

$20 交易量

5%

20-30分鐘

$40 交易量

5%

30-40分鐘

$0 交易量

9%

40-50分鐘

$0 交易量

26%

50-60分鐘

$0 交易量

33%

60-70分鐘

$70 交易量

20%

70-80 分鐘

$74 交易量

17%

80分鐘以上

$0 交易量

21%

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Las Vegas remarks. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Las Vegas remarks until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If Trump allows another individual to speak before he finishes his own speech, that time will count towards the duration of his speech. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the start of Trump’s Las Vegas remarks is cancelled or delayed beyond August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Trump’s scheduled remarks on tax relief and economic policy at Las Vegas’s Red Rock Casino on August 5 follow a pattern of recent Nevada events where similar roundtables and addresses lasted 44–48 minutes. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 40–60 minutes because those precedents, combined with the restricted-pool format and afternoon timing, suggest a focused but potentially extemporaneous delivery rather than a full rally. Venue constraints, the emphasis on “no tax on tips” messaging, and Trump’s history of varying speech lengths depending on audience engagement keep probabilities split between the two leading brackets. A shorter scripted version or extended Q&A could shift the distribution, while any last-minute schedule changes or larger crowd dynamics remain the main variables still in play.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy).

This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Las Vegas remarks.

The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Las Vegas remarks until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If Trump allows another individual to speak before he finishes his own speech, that time will count towards the duration of his speech.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the start of Trump’s Las Vegas remarks is cancelled or delayed beyond August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
交易量
$204
結束日期
2026-08-05
市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Las Vegas remarks. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Las Vegas remarks until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If Trump allows another individual to speak before he finishes his own speech, that time will count towards the duration of his speech. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the start of Trump’s Las Vegas remarks is cancelled or delayed beyond August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Las Vegas remarks. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Las Vegas remarks until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If Trump allows another individual to speak before he finishes his own speech, that time will count towards the duration of his speech. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the start of Trump’s Las Vegas remarks is cancelled or delayed beyond August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Trump’s scheduled remarks on tax relief and economic policy at Las Vegas’s Red Rock Casino on August 5 follow a pattern of recent Nevada events where similar roundtables and addresses lasted 44–48 minutes. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 40–60 minutes because those precedents, combined with the restricted-pool format and afternoon timing, suggest a focused but potentially extemporaneous delivery rather than a full rally. Venue constraints, the emphasis on “no tax on tips” messaging, and Trump’s history of varying speech lengths depending on audience engagement keep probabilities split between the two leading brackets. A shorter scripted version or extended Q&A could shift the distribution, while any last-minute schedule changes or larger crowd dynamics remain the main variables still in play.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy).

This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Las Vegas remarks.

The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Las Vegas remarks until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If Trump allows another individual to speak before he finishes his own speech, that time will count towards the duration of his speech.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the start of Trump’s Las Vegas remarks is cancelled or delayed beyond August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
交易量
$204
結束日期
2026-08-05
市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdeLprcbvz7bozG74CZuy). This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's Las Vegas remarks. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the Las Vegas remarks until the moment he finishes his speech. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If Trump allows another individual to speak before he finishes his own speech, that time will count towards the duration of his speech. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the start of Trump’s Las Vegas remarks is cancelled or delayed beyond August 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普的拉斯維加斯演講將持續多久?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "50-60分鐘" at 33%, followed by "40-50分鐘" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"特朗普的拉斯維加斯演講將持續多久?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "特朗普的拉斯維加斯演講將持續多久?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特朗普的拉斯維加斯演講將持續多久?" is "50-60分鐘" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-50分鐘" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普的拉斯維加斯演講將持續多久?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.