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icon for 誰將成為特朗普的下一任司法部長？
政治·AG

誰將成為特朗普的下一任司法部長？

icon for 誰將成為特朗普的下一任司法部長？
政治·AG

誰將成為特朗普的下一任司法部長？

阿莉娜·哈巴 95%

陶德·布蘭奇 65%

Eric Schmitt 51%

李澤爾丁 49%

Polymarket
最新

阿莉娜·哈巴 95%

陶德·布蘭奇 65%

Eric Schmitt 51%

李澤爾丁 49%

Polymarket
最新

阿莉娜·哈巴

$0 交易量

95%

陶德·布蘭奇

$0 交易量

65%

Eric Schmitt

$0 交易量

51%

李澤爾丁

$0 交易量

49%

傑夫·克拉克

$0 交易量

49%

朗·德桑蒂斯

$0 交易量

49%

麥克·李

$0 交易量

49%

Harmeet Dhillon

$0 交易量

49%

安德魯·貝利

$0 交易量

49%

Jeanine Pirro

$0 交易量

46%

泰德·克魯茲

$0 交易量

33%

Sidney Powell

$0 交易量

19%

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Todd Blanche leads trader sentiment as the frontrunner for Attorney General due to his role as acting head since April 2026 and President Trump’s formal nomination in early June. Senate Judiciary Committee hearings occurred in mid-July, yet the confirmation vote has been delayed amid concerns from Republican senators over Justice Department actions and demands for additional information. This procedural uncertainty keeps implied probabilities from rising further despite Blanche’s institutional position. Other named candidates remain clustered near even odds, reflecting limited movement toward alternatives while the nomination process remains active but unresolved. Upcoming committee actions and any holds will likely determine whether the acting attorney general secures permanent confirmation or prompts renewed speculation about replacements.

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.

If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2029-01-19
市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 3:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Todd Blanche leads trader sentiment as the frontrunner for Attorney General due to his role as acting head since April 2026 and President Trump’s formal nomination in early June. Senate Judiciary Committee hearings occurred in mid-July, yet the confirmation vote has been delayed amid concerns from Republican senators over Justice Department actions and demands for additional information. This procedural uncertainty keeps implied probabilities from rising further despite Blanche’s institutional position. Other named candidates remain clustered near even odds, reflecting limited movement toward alternatives while the nomination process remains active but unresolved. Upcoming committee actions and any holds will likely determine whether the acting attorney general secures permanent confirmation or prompts renewed speculation about replacements.

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.

If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2029-01-19
市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 3:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將成為特朗普的下一任司法部長？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "陶德·布蘭奇" at 65%, followed by "Eric Schmitt" at 51%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"誰將成為特朗普的下一任司法部長？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "誰將成為特朗普的下一任司法部長？," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將成為特朗普的下一任司法部長？" is "陶德·布蘭奇" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Eric Schmitt" at 51%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將成為特朗普的下一任司法部長？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.