Diplomatic momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords has slowed after Kazakhstan’s formal accession earlier in 2026 and Somaliland’s December 2025 pledge. No major new bilateral normalization agreements have advanced to signing stage in recent months, with potential candidates such as Saudi Arabia conditioning any move on Palestinian statehood progress and Syria’s post-Assad leadership signaling reluctance amid ongoing regional frictions. U.S. efforts to link further accessions to an Iran-related deal have produced no confirmed timelines or commitments within the narrow window before August 31. Trader consensus reflected in the 73.5% probability for “No” aligns with these structural and timing constraints on rapid new entries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
最新
最新
2026-08-31
是
最新
最新
2026-08-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords has slowed after Kazakhstan’s formal accession earlier in 2026 and Somaliland’s December 2025 pledge. No major new bilateral normalization agreements have advanced to signing stage in recent months, with potential candidates such as Saudi Arabia conditioning any move on Palestinian statehood progress and Syria’s post-Assad leadership signaling reluctance amid ongoing regional frictions. U.S. efforts to link further accessions to an Iran-related deal have produced no confirmed timelines or commitments within the narrow window before August 31. Trader consensus reflected in the 73.5% probability for “No” aligns with these structural and timing constraints on rapid new entries.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
交易量
$21結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords has slowed after Kazakhstan’s formal accession earlier in 2026 and Somaliland’s December 2025 pledge. No major new bilateral normalization agreements have advanced to signing stage in recent months, with potential candidates such as Saudi Arabia conditioning any move on Palestinian statehood progress and Syria’s post-Assad leadership signaling reluctance amid ongoing regional frictions. U.S. efforts to link further accessions to an Iran-related deal have produced no confirmed timelines or commitments within the narrow window before August 31. Trader consensus reflected in the 73.5% probability for “No” aligns with these structural and timing constraints on rapid new entries.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$21結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords has slowed after Kazakhstan’s formal accession earlier in 2026 and Somaliland’s December 2025 pledge. No major new bilateral normalization agreements have advanced to signing stage in recent months, with potential candidates such as Saudi Arabia conditioning any move on Palestinian statehood progress and Syria’s post-Assad leadership signaling reluctance amid ongoing regional frictions. U.S. efforts to link further accessions to an Iran-related deal have produced no confirmed timelines or commitments within the narrow window before August 31. Trader consensus reflected in the 73.5% probability for “No” aligns with these structural and timing constraints on rapid new entries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions