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icon for 本週最熱門的美國Netflix電影是什麼?

本週最熱門的美國Netflix電影是什麼?

icon for 本週最熱門的美國Netflix電影是什麼?

本週最熱門的美國Netflix電影是什麼?

8月 18

8月 18

The Last House 93%

Don’t Say Good Luck 2.9%

聖徒與罪人的國度 2.3%

72小時 2.1%

Polymarket
最新

The Last House 93%

Don’t Say Good Luck 2.9%

聖徒與罪人的國度 2.3%

72小時 2.1%

Polymarket
最新
icon for The Last House

The Last House

$150 交易量

93%

icon for Don’t Say Good Luck

Don’t Say Good Luck

$24 交易量

3%

icon for 聖徒與罪人的國度

聖徒與罪人的國度

$92 交易量

2%

icon for 72小時

72小時

$162 交易量

2%

icon for 小小兵

小小兵

$97 交易量

2%

icon for 蜘蛛人:離家日

蜘蛛人:離家日

$127 交易量

2%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The Last House’s commanding 92.5% implied probability stems from its August 7 Netflix premiere as a high-profile sci-fi thriller starring Greta Lee and Wagner Moura, which delivered 27.5 million views in its first three days and immediately topped U.S. charts. Strong promotional push, recognizable talent, and fresh content advantage over catalog titles like Minions or Spider-Man: Far from Home have locked in trader consensus. An upset would require an unforeseen surge from an older holdover or a surprise new drop overtaking it before weekly rankings lock, though current momentum and historical patterns for major originals make that outcome improbable.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$653
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The Last House’s commanding 92.5% implied probability stems from its August 7 Netflix premiere as a high-profile sci-fi thriller starring Greta Lee and Wagner Moura, which delivered 27.5 million views in its first three days and immediately topped U.S. charts. Strong promotional push, recognizable talent, and fresh content advantage over catalog titles like Minions or Spider-Man: Far from Home have locked in trader consensus. An upset would require an unforeseen surge from an older holdover or a surprise new drop overtaking it before weekly rankings lock, though current momentum and historical patterns for major originals make that outcome improbable.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$653
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"本週最熱門的美國Netflix電影是什麼?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Last House" at 93%, followed by "Don’t Say Good Luck" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"本週最熱門的美國Netflix電影是什麼?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "本週最熱門的美國Netflix電影是什麼?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "本週最熱門的美國Netflix電影是什麼?" is "The Last House" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Don’t Say Good Luck" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "本週最熱門的美國Netflix電影是什麼?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.