Elon Musk's tweeting activity on X continues to draw heavy trader interest, with the market-implied odds heavily favoring 180-199 posts for the August 11-18 window at 50.5%. This range reflects his established baseline of high-volume posting during routine weeks, where daily commentary on technology, politics, and company updates typically lands in the mid-20s per day absent major breaking news or product launches. The secondary bucket at 160-179 (26.5%) captures scenarios of slightly moderated engagement, while the 200-219 tier (18.5%) accounts for any late-week spikes from events like earnings commentary or viral threads. With the period more than halfway complete, momentum has stabilized around these levels as no singular cultural or industry catalyst has yet driven outlier volume.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於180-199 50%
160-179 27%
200-219 19%
220-239 3.4%
$1,415,672 交易量
$1,415,672 交易量
2026-08-18
120-139
<1%
140-159
2%
160-179
27%
180-199
50%
200-219
19%
220-239
3%
240-259
1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 50%
160-179 27%
200-219 19%
220-239 3.4%
$1,415,672 交易量
$1,415,672 交易量
2026-08-18
120-139
$177,040 交易量
<1%
140-159
$163,183 交易量
2%
160-179
$122,058 交易量
27%
180-199
$84,633 交易量
50%
200-219
$66,157 交易量
19%
220-239
$63,236 交易量
3%
240-259
$84,723 交易量
1%
260-279
$77,763 交易量
<1%
280-299
$80,589 交易量
<1%
300-319
$79,652 交易量
<1%
320-339
$43,368 交易量
<1%
340-359
$42,323 交易量
<1%
360-379
$29,969 交易量
<1%
380-399
$25,087 交易量
<1%
400-419
$22,118 交易量
<1%
420-439
$15,300 交易量
<1%
440-459
$15,044 交易量
<1%
460-479
$6,196 交易量
<1%
480-499
$5,696 交易量
<1%
500+
$43,869 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's tweeting activity on X continues to draw heavy trader interest, with the market-implied odds heavily favoring 180-199 posts for the August 11-18 window at 50.5%. This range reflects his established baseline of high-volume posting during routine weeks, where daily commentary on technology, politics, and company updates typically lands in the mid-20s per day absent major breaking news or product launches. The secondary bucket at 160-179 (26.5%) captures scenarios of slightly moderated engagement, while the 200-219 tier (18.5%) accounts for any late-week spikes from events like earnings commentary or viral threads. With the period more than halfway complete, momentum has stabilized around these levels as no singular cultural or industry catalyst has yet driven outlier volume.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$1,415,672結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's tweeting activity on X continues to draw heavy trader interest, with the market-implied odds heavily favoring 180-199 posts for the August 11-18 window at 50.5%. This range reflects his established baseline of high-volume posting during routine weeks, where daily commentary on technology, politics, and company updates typically lands in the mid-20s per day absent major breaking news or product launches. The secondary bucket at 160-179 (26.5%) captures scenarios of slightly moderated engagement, while the 200-219 tier (18.5%) accounts for any late-week spikes from events like earnings commentary or viral threads. With the period more than halfway complete, momentum has stabilized around these levels as no singular cultural or industry catalyst has yet driven outlier volume.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$1,415,672結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's tweeting activity on X continues to draw heavy trader interest, with the market-implied odds heavily favoring 180-199 posts for the August 11-18 window at 50.5%. This range reflects his established baseline of high-volume posting during routine weeks, where daily commentary on technology, politics, and company updates typically lands in the mid-20s per day absent major breaking news or product launches. The secondary bucket at 160-179 (26.5%) captures scenarios of slightly moderated engagement, while the 200-219 tier (18.5%) accounts for any late-week spikes from events like earnings commentary or viral threads. With the period more than halfway complete, momentum has stabilized around these levels as no singular cultural or industry catalyst has yet driven outlier volume.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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