Recent polls, including Stetson University's survey of likely voters from late March to mid-April released April 24, show Republican candidates leading in Florida's open gubernatorial race, with U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds holding a 47%-40% edge over Democrat David Jolly and dominating the crowded GOP primary field at 46% in an April Emerson poll. Florida's Republican voter registration advantage exceeding 800,000, GOP supermajority in the legislature, and the state's rightward shift under term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis underpin trader consensus implying an 80% probability of a Republican win on November 3, despite some recent surveys showing ties amid high undecided rates. The August 18 primaries remain a key upcoming event that could solidify frontrunners.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$18,170 交易量
$18,170 交易量

共和黨
80%

民主黨
18%
$18,170 交易量
$18,170 交易量

共和黨
80%

民主黨
18%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including Stetson University's survey of likely voters from late March to mid-April released April 24, show Republican candidates leading in Florida's open gubernatorial race, with U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds holding a 47%-40% edge over Democrat David Jolly and dominating the crowded GOP primary field at 46% in an April Emerson poll. Florida's Republican voter registration advantage exceeding 800,000, GOP supermajority in the legislature, and the state's rightward shift under term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis underpin trader consensus implying an 80% probability of a Republican win on November 3, despite some recent surveys showing ties amid high undecided rates. The August 18 primaries remain a key upcoming event that could solidify frontrunners.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions