Redistricting has shifted Florida's 9th Congressional District significantly rightward since the prior cycle, producing ratings of Likely Republican or Solid Republican from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed through the August 18 Democratic primary, while Dan Green narrowly secured the Republican nomination in a crowded field on the same date. These structural changes, combined with midterm voter registration and turnout patterns favoring Republicans, underpin the market's 70% consensus probability for a Republican victory against Soto on November 3. Limited post-primary polling leaves room for general election developments to influence final positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$18,476 交易量
$18,476 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
72%
民主黨
30%
$18,476 交易量
$18,476 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$10,873 交易量
72%
民主黨
$7,603 交易量
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has shifted Florida's 9th Congressional District significantly rightward since the prior cycle, producing ratings of Likely Republican or Solid Republican from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed through the August 18 Democratic primary, while Dan Green narrowly secured the Republican nomination in a crowded field on the same date. These structural changes, combined with midterm voter registration and turnout patterns favoring Republicans, underpin the market's 70% consensus probability for a Republican victory against Soto on November 3. Limited post-primary polling leaves room for general election developments to influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
交易量
$18,476結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has shifted Florida's 9th Congressional District significantly rightward since the prior cycle, producing ratings of Likely Republican or Solid Republican from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed through the August 18 Democratic primary, while Dan Green narrowly secured the Republican nomination in a crowded field on the same date. These structural changes, combined with midterm voter registration and turnout patterns favoring Republicans, underpin the market's 70% consensus probability for a Republican victory against Soto on November 3. Limited post-primary polling leaves room for general election developments to influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,476結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has shifted Florida's 9th Congressional District significantly rightward since the prior cycle, producing ratings of Likely Republican or Solid Republican from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed through the August 18 Democratic primary, while Dan Green narrowly secured the Republican nomination in a crowded field on the same date. These structural changes, combined with midterm voter registration and turnout patterns favoring Republicans, underpin the market's 70% consensus probability for a Republican victory against Soto on November 3. Limited post-primary polling leaves room for general election developments to influence final positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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