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icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
選舉·法國選舉

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
選舉·法國選舉

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$26,161 交易量

2027-04-23
Polymarket

$26,161 交易量

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$258 交易量

62%

Jordan Bardella

$1,769 交易量

73%

Michel Barnier

$192 交易量

10%

Valérie Pécresse

$177 交易量

12%

Élisabeth Borne

$298 交易量

4%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$385 交易量

14%

Jean Castex

$64 交易量

18%

Gérald Darmanin

$171 交易量

14%

Sébastien Lecornu

$284 交易量

19%

François Bayrou

$505 交易量

1%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$67 交易量

11%

Carole Delga

$165 交易量

13%

Olivier Faure

$1,765 交易量

11%

François Hollande

$366 交易量

59%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$2,085 交易量

88%

Manuel Bompard

$397 交易量

6%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,450 交易量

97%

Mathilde Panot

$8,833 交易量

2%

Dominique de Villepin

$61 交易量

48%

Marine Le Pen

$473 交易量

21%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of mid-2026, more than a dozen figures have formally declared presidential bids ahead of the April 2027 vote, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon announcing his fourth campaign in early May. Former prime ministers Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also entered the race, while Bruno Retailleau secured Les Républicains’ endorsement after an internal vote in April. Additional confirmed candidacies include Karim Bouamrane and several left-wing and far-right contenders, reflecting a fragmented field across major parties. Macron’s ineligibility due to term limits, ongoing coalition negotiations, and the need for 500 elected-official signatures continue to shape positioning, with further announcements and potential withdrawals expected before year-end.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$26,161
結束日期
2027-04-23
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of mid-2026, more than a dozen figures have formally declared presidential bids ahead of the April 2027 vote, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon announcing his fourth campaign in early May. Former prime ministers Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also entered the race, while Bruno Retailleau secured Les Républicains’ endorsement after an internal vote in April. Additional confirmed candidacies include Karim Bouamrane and several left-wing and far-right contenders, reflecting a fragmented field across major parties. Macron’s ineligibility due to term limits, ongoing coalition negotiations, and the need for 500 elected-official signatures continue to shape positioning, with further announcements and potential withdrawals expected before year-end.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$26,161
結束日期
2027-04-23
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gabriel Attal" at 100%, followed by "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 97%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" has generated $26.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" is "Gabriel Attal" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 97%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.