Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day as 2026's highest-grossing film at 67% implied probability, propelled by its record-shattering trailer views in late March and robust presales tracking that project a $1.1 billion domestic haul from its prime July 31 summer slot. Avengers: Doomsday trails at 14.5% despite industry buzz like Bloomberg forecasts, as its December release risks holiday competition and MCU fatigue concerns. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's real-world $941 million global tally to date—solid but below predecessor benchmarks—caps its upside at 5%, while Toy Story 5 (3.5%) builds anticipation ahead of June. Watch Spider-Man early buzz and Toy Story previews for potential shifts in this volatile box office race.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026年票房最高的電影?
2026年票房最高的電影?
蜘蛛人:全新一天 67%
復仇者聯盟:末日審判 15%
超級瑪利歐銀河電影 5.1%
玩具總動員5 3.5%
$6,717,289 交易量
$6,717,289 交易量
蜘蛛人:全新一天
67%
復仇者聯盟:末日審判
15%
超級瑪利歐銀河電影
5%
玩具總動員5
4%
奧德賽
3%
麥可
1%
星際大戰:曼達洛人與格羅古
1%
沙丘:彌賽亞
1%
魔法壞女巫:永誌難忘
1%
呼嘯山莊
1%
野蠻遊戲3
1%
飢餓遊戲:收割初曦
<1%
救援任務:海爾瑪麗號
<1%
驚聲尖叫7
<1%
蜘蛛人:全新一天 67%
復仇者聯盟:末日審判 15%
超級瑪利歐銀河電影 5.1%
玩具總動員5 3.5%
$6,717,289 交易量
$6,717,289 交易量
蜘蛛人:全新一天
67%
復仇者聯盟:末日審判
15%
超級瑪利歐銀河電影
5%
玩具總動員5
4%
奧德賽
3%
麥可
1%
星際大戰:曼達洛人與格羅古
1%
沙丘:彌賽亞
1%
魔法壞女巫:永誌難忘
1%
呼嘯山莊
1%
野蠻遊戲3
1%
飢餓遊戲:收割初曦
<1%
救援任務:海爾瑪麗號
<1%
驚聲尖叫7
<1%
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間: Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day as 2026's highest-grossing film at 67% implied probability, propelled by its record-shattering trailer views in late March and robust presales tracking that project a $1.1 billion domestic haul from its prime July 31 summer slot. Avengers: Doomsday trails at 14.5% despite industry buzz like Bloomberg forecasts, as its December release risks holiday competition and MCU fatigue concerns. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's real-world $941 million global tally to date—solid but below predecessor benchmarks—caps its upside at 5%, while Toy Story 5 (3.5%) builds anticipation ahead of June. Watch Spider-Man early buzz and Toy Story previews for potential shifts in this volatile box office race.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions