**Trader sentiment for Beijing’s June 21 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 29–30 °C (combined ~56 % implied probability) because short-range models and climatological normals both point to a typical late-June peak near 30 °C (86 °F).** With the summer solstice only two days away, strong insolation over the North China Plain favors rapid daytime heating, yet morning cloud cover and modest northerly flow on the 21st are expected to limit extreme warming. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, keeping 28 °C and 31 °C within reach depending on exact timing of any scattered showers or clearer breaks. Historical June maxima average 30–31 °C, so the market’s tight distribution around the mean reflects both forecast consensus and the narrow range of plausible outcomes two days out.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on June 21?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 21?
29°C 34%
30°C 33%
28°C 16%
31°C 7%
最新
$10,572 交易量
最新
$10,572 交易量
2026-06-21
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
16%
29°C
34%
30°C
33%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 33%
28°C 16%
31°C 7%
最新
$10,572 交易量
最新
$10,572 交易量
2026-06-21
24°C or below
$1,128 交易量
<1%
25°C
$150 交易量
1%
26°C
$707 交易量
1%
27°C
$873 交易量
5%
28°C
$651 交易量
16%
29°C
$872 交易量
34%
30°C
$512 交易量
33%
31°C
$2,416 交易量
7%
32°C
$1,550 交易量
2%
33°C
$765 交易量
1%
34°C or higher
$949 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Beijing’s June 21 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 29–30 °C (combined ~56 % implied probability) because short-range models and climatological normals both point to a typical late-June peak near 30 °C (86 °F).** With the summer solstice only two days away, strong insolation over the North China Plain favors rapid daytime heating, yet morning cloud cover and modest northerly flow on the 21st are expected to limit extreme warming. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, keeping 28 °C and 31 °C within reach depending on exact timing of any scattered showers or clearer breaks. Historical June maxima average 30–31 °C, so the market’s tight distribution around the mean reflects both forecast consensus and the narrow range of plausible outcomes two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$10,572結束日期
2026-06-21市場開放時間
Jun 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Beijing’s June 21 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 29–30 °C (combined ~56 % implied probability) because short-range models and climatological normals both point to a typical late-June peak near 30 °C (86 °F).** With the summer solstice only two days away, strong insolation over the North China Plain favors rapid daytime heating, yet morning cloud cover and modest northerly flow on the 21st are expected to limit extreme warming. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, keeping 28 °C and 31 °C within reach depending on exact timing of any scattered showers or clearer breaks. Historical June maxima average 30–31 °C, so the market’s tight distribution around the mean reflects both forecast consensus and the narrow range of plausible outcomes two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,572結束日期
2026-06-21市場開放時間
Jun 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Beijing’s June 21 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 29–30 °C (combined ~56 % implied probability) because short-range models and climatological normals both point to a typical late-June peak near 30 °C (86 °F).** With the summer solstice only two days away, strong insolation over the North China Plain favors rapid daytime heating, yet morning cloud cover and modest northerly flow on the 21st are expected to limit extreme warming. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, keeping 28 °C and 31 °C within reach depending on exact timing of any scattered showers or clearer breaks. Historical June maxima average 30–31 °C, so the market’s tight distribution around the mean reflects both forecast consensus and the narrow range of plausible outcomes two days out.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions