Recent forecasts for Chengdu point to scattered showers and cloud cover on July 31 moderating daytime heating, with official guidance centering maximum temperatures near 27°C at the Shuangliu station. This aligns with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–28°C. Key scientific variables include the strength and timing of monsoon-driven moisture influx, which increases low-level cloud fraction and reduces incoming solar radiation; subtle shifts in steering flow from the subtropical ridge that alter peak insolation windows by a few hours; and boundary-layer humidity amplifying or suppressing the diurnal temperature range. Model spread between ensembles, particularly in precipitation onset, accounts for the modest probability assigned to 29–30°C outcomes. Updated runs from global models over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月31日成都最高溫度？
7月31日成都最高溫度？
28°C 29%
27°C 25%
29°C 24%
26°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
14%
27°C
25%
28°C
29%
29°C
24%
30°C
7%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C或以上
1%
28°C 29%
27°C 25%
29°C 24%
26°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
23°C或以下
$1,052 交易量
<1%
24°C
$310 交易量
1%
25°C
$405 交易量
5%
26°C
$627 交易量
14%
27°C
$616 交易量
25%
28°C
$468 交易量
29%
29°C
$425 交易量
24%
30°C
$806 交易量
7%
31°C
$251 交易量
2%
32°C
$795 交易量
1%
33°C或以上
$1,061 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu point to scattered showers and cloud cover on July 31 moderating daytime heating, with official guidance centering maximum temperatures near 27°C at the Shuangliu station. This aligns with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–28°C. Key scientific variables include the strength and timing of monsoon-driven moisture influx, which increases low-level cloud fraction and reduces incoming solar radiation; subtle shifts in steering flow from the subtropical ridge that alter peak insolation windows by a few hours; and boundary-layer humidity amplifying or suppressing the diurnal temperature range. Model spread between ensembles, particularly in precipitation onset, accounts for the modest probability assigned to 29–30°C outcomes. Updated runs from global models over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$6,816結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu point to scattered showers and cloud cover on July 31 moderating daytime heating, with official guidance centering maximum temperatures near 27°C at the Shuangliu station. This aligns with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–28°C. Key scientific variables include the strength and timing of monsoon-driven moisture influx, which increases low-level cloud fraction and reduces incoming solar radiation; subtle shifts in steering flow from the subtropical ridge that alter peak insolation windows by a few hours; and boundary-layer humidity amplifying or suppressing the diurnal temperature range. Model spread between ensembles, particularly in precipitation onset, accounts for the modest probability assigned to 29–30°C outcomes. Updated runs from global models over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,816結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts for Chengdu point to scattered showers and cloud cover on July 31 moderating daytime heating, with official guidance centering maximum temperatures near 27°C at the Shuangliu station. This aligns with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–28°C. Key scientific variables include the strength and timing of monsoon-driven moisture influx, which increases low-level cloud fraction and reduces incoming solar radiation; subtle shifts in steering flow from the subtropical ridge that alter peak insolation windows by a few hours; and boundary-layer humidity amplifying or suppressing the diurnal temperature range. Model spread between ensembles, particularly in precipitation onset, accounts for the modest probability assigned to 29–30°C outcomes. Updated runs from global models over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions