Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus for Miami on July 29 indicate a high near 92–94°F under a persistent subtropical ridge, with typical July moisture supporting scattered afternoon thunderstorms that often cap peak readings. Sea-breeze convergence and high boundary-layer humidity (dew points in the upper 70s) moderate daytime maxima despite above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent days when Miami reached 94°F. Historical July averages near 90–91°F provide baseline context, while the 44.5% market-implied probability on 94–95°F reflects traders’ assessment that modest model spreads or slight steering changes could push the official observation into that bin. Updated short-range forecasts and any NHC or local mesoscale adjustments through July 28 evening remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月29日邁阿密的最高溫度？
7月29日邁阿密的最高溫度？
94-95°F 100.0%
華氏85度或以下 <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$55,060 交易量
$55,060 交易量
2026-07-29
華氏85度或以下
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
100%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F或更高
<1%
94-95°F 100.0%
華氏85度或以下 <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$55,060 交易量
$55,060 交易量
2026-07-29
華氏85度或以下
$1,606 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$900 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$2,419 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$10,178 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$17,059 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$9,267 交易量
100%
96-97°F
$6,429 交易量
<1%
98-99°F
$3,994 交易量
<1%
100-101°F
$2,573 交易量
<1%
102-103°F
$634 交易量
<1%
104°F或更高
$1 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus for Miami on July 29 indicate a high near 92–94°F under a persistent subtropical ridge, with typical July moisture supporting scattered afternoon thunderstorms that often cap peak readings. Sea-breeze convergence and high boundary-layer humidity (dew points in the upper 70s) moderate daytime maxima despite above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent days when Miami reached 94°F. Historical July averages near 90–91°F provide baseline context, while the 44.5% market-implied probability on 94–95°F reflects traders’ assessment that modest model spreads or slight steering changes could push the official observation into that bin. Updated short-range forecasts and any NHC or local mesoscale adjustments through July 28 evening remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
交易量
$55,060結束日期
2026-07-29市場開放時間
Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus for Miami on July 29 indicate a high near 92–94°F under a persistent subtropical ridge, with typical July moisture supporting scattered afternoon thunderstorms that often cap peak readings. Sea-breeze convergence and high boundary-layer humidity (dew points in the upper 70s) moderate daytime maxima despite above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent days when Miami reached 94°F. Historical July averages near 90–91°F provide baseline context, while the 44.5% market-implied probability on 94–95°F reflects traders’ assessment that modest model spreads or slight steering changes could push the official observation into that bin. Updated short-range forecasts and any NHC or local mesoscale adjustments through July 28 evening remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$55,060結束日期
2026-07-29市場開放時間
Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus for Miami on July 29 indicate a high near 92–94°F under a persistent subtropical ridge, with typical July moisture supporting scattered afternoon thunderstorms that often cap peak readings. Sea-breeze convergence and high boundary-layer humidity (dew points in the upper 70s) moderate daytime maxima despite above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent days when Miami reached 94°F. Historical July averages near 90–91°F provide baseline context, while the 44.5% market-implied probability on 94–95°F reflects traders’ assessment that modest model spreads or slight steering changes could push the official observation into that bin. Updated short-range forecasts and any NHC or local mesoscale adjustments through July 28 evening remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions