Latest National Weather Service and ensemble guidance for Miami on July 31 points to a high near 92–94°F beneath a persistent subtropical ridge, with typical July humidity fueling scattered afternoon thunderstorms that often limit peak readings. This forecast consensus underpins the market’s leading 94–95°F outcome at 45% implied probability, followed by 92–93°F at 20%, as traders weigh modest warming potential against convective capping. Historical July averages hover near 89–91°F, so current model runs show slightly above-normal conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated short-range forecasts and any shifts in ridge strength or storm timing ahead of the daily maximum will be the key variables influencing final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月31日邁阿密的最高溫度？
7月31日邁阿密的最高溫度？
94-95°F 45%
96-97°F 25%
92-93°F 15%
90-91°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
87°F或以下
1%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
45%
96-97°F
25%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
華氏106度或更高
1%
94-95°F 45%
96-97°F 25%
92-93°F 15%
90-91°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
87°F或以下
$16 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$5 交易量
8%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
10%
92-93°F
$0 交易量
15%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
45%
96-97°F
$128 交易量
25%
98-99°F
$76 交易量
6%
100-101°F
$16 交易量
2%
102-103°F
$25 交易量
1%
104-105°F
$20 交易量
1%
華氏106度或更高
$15 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble guidance for Miami on July 31 points to a high near 92–94°F beneath a persistent subtropical ridge, with typical July humidity fueling scattered afternoon thunderstorms that often limit peak readings. This forecast consensus underpins the market’s leading 94–95°F outcome at 45% implied probability, followed by 92–93°F at 20%, as traders weigh modest warming potential against convective capping. Historical July averages hover near 89–91°F, so current model runs show slightly above-normal conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated short-range forecasts and any shifts in ridge strength or storm timing ahead of the daily maximum will be the key variables influencing final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$302結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble guidance for Miami on July 31 points to a high near 92–94°F beneath a persistent subtropical ridge, with typical July humidity fueling scattered afternoon thunderstorms that often limit peak readings. This forecast consensus underpins the market’s leading 94–95°F outcome at 45% implied probability, followed by 92–93°F at 20%, as traders weigh modest warming potential against convective capping. Historical July averages hover near 89–91°F, so current model runs show slightly above-normal conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated short-range forecasts and any shifts in ridge strength or storm timing ahead of the daily maximum will be the key variables influencing final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$302結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETLatest National Weather Service and ensemble guidance for Miami on July 31 points to a high near 92–94°F beneath a persistent subtropical ridge, with typical July humidity fueling scattered afternoon thunderstorms that often limit peak readings. This forecast consensus underpins the market’s leading 94–95°F outcome at 45% implied probability, followed by 92–93°F at 20%, as traders weigh modest warming potential against convective capping. Historical July averages hover near 89–91°F, so current model runs show slightly above-normal conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated short-range forecasts and any shifts in ridge strength or storm timing ahead of the daily maximum will be the key variables influencing final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions