Seattle’s forecast for July 31 centers on a strong high-pressure ridge delivering sunny skies and light northerly flow, with official NWS guidance calling for a high near 80°F. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable marine-layer influence and sea-breeze timing, keeping most solutions between 78–82°F and limiting upside risk above 85°F. This range aligns with late-July climatology (normal high ~76°F) and follows several consecutive above-average days without major heat advection from the interior. Traders therefore cluster probability on the 80–83°F bins while assigning lower weight to hotter or cooler outliers pending the next model update cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月31日西雅圖的最高溫度?
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 25%
78-79°F 10%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 25%
78-79°F 10%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Seattle’s forecast for July 31 centers on a strong high-pressure ridge delivering sunny skies and light northerly flow, with official NWS guidance calling for a high near 80°F. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable marine-layer influence and sea-breeze timing, keeping most solutions between 78–82°F and limiting upside risk above 85°F. This range aligns with late-July climatology (normal high ~76°F) and follows several consecutive above-average days without major heat advection from the interior. Traders therefore cluster probability on the 80–83°F bins while assigning lower weight to hotter or cooler outliers pending the next model update cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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