Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Houston's July 31 high near 96–98°F, aligning with the 61% market-implied probability for 96–97°F. Typical late-July normals sit at 96°F at Houston IAH, with recent atmospheric patterns featuring modest afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies, limited moisture, and steering flows that favor upper-90s peaks without strong capping inversions or heat-dome intensification. Long-range guidance from AccuWeather and others shows daily July highs generally in the 98–101°F range amid above-average seasonal warmth, yet no immediate tropical moisture surge or frontal passage is expected to suppress or elevate readings beyond this narrow band. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of outcomes around the climatological mean, with lower probabilities assigned to 100°F+ scenarios that would require unexpected model shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月31日休斯敦的最高溫度？
7月31日休斯敦的最高溫度？
96-97°F 41%
94-95°F 21%
98-99°F 16%
102-103°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
87°F或以下
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
41%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
7%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
4%
106°F或更高
4%
96-97°F 41%
94-95°F 21%
98-99°F 16%
102-103°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
87°F或以下
$0 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$20 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$31 交易量
4%
92-93°F
$0 交易量
4%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
21%
96-97°F
$19 交易量
41%
98-99°F
$3 交易量
16%
100-101°F
$0 交易量
7%
102-103°F
$0 交易量
8%
104-105°F
$20 交易量
4%
106°F或更高
$15 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Houston's July 31 high near 96–98°F, aligning with the 61% market-implied probability for 96–97°F. Typical late-July normals sit at 96°F at Houston IAH, with recent atmospheric patterns featuring modest afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies, limited moisture, and steering flows that favor upper-90s peaks without strong capping inversions or heat-dome intensification. Long-range guidance from AccuWeather and others shows daily July highs generally in the 98–101°F range amid above-average seasonal warmth, yet no immediate tropical moisture surge or frontal passage is expected to suppress or elevate readings beyond this narrow band. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of outcomes around the climatological mean, with lower probabilities assigned to 100°F+ scenarios that would require unexpected model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
交易量
$108結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Houston's July 31 high near 96–98°F, aligning with the 61% market-implied probability for 96–97°F. Typical late-July normals sit at 96°F at Houston IAH, with recent atmospheric patterns featuring modest afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies, limited moisture, and steering flows that favor upper-90s peaks without strong capping inversions or heat-dome intensification. Long-range guidance from AccuWeather and others shows daily July highs generally in the 98–101°F range amid above-average seasonal warmth, yet no immediate tropical moisture surge or frontal passage is expected to suppress or elevate readings beyond this narrow band. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of outcomes around the climatological mean, with lower probabilities assigned to 100°F+ scenarios that would require unexpected model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$108結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Houston's July 31 high near 96–98°F, aligning with the 61% market-implied probability for 96–97°F. Typical late-July normals sit at 96°F at Houston IAH, with recent atmospheric patterns featuring modest afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies, limited moisture, and steering flows that favor upper-90s peaks without strong capping inversions or heat-dome intensification. Long-range guidance from AccuWeather and others shows daily July highs generally in the 98–101°F range amid above-average seasonal warmth, yet no immediate tropical moisture surge or frontal passage is expected to suppress or elevate readings beyond this narrow band. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of outcomes around the climatological mean, with lower probabilities assigned to 100°F+ scenarios that would require unexpected model shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions